Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.0%Cal State Bakersfield

91.0%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -1011

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 70

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreUC Davis 87

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricUC Davis

32.2MMH Power Index48.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

112.6Defensive Efficiency103.7

-12.4Net Efficiency3.5

-1.7Strength of Schedule-1.9

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

73.0Tempo72.4

46.4%Effective FG%52.3%

18.6%Turnover Rate17.7%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

43.8%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-9.1Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (103.7–112.6), net efficiency (3.5–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-1.9), offensive rebounding (30.2–26.7), free throw rate (43.8–41.5).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

71—66

UC Davis

Cal State Bakersfield by 5 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATUC Davis

21-49FG23-55

43.0%FG%42.0%

6-133PT11-27

46.0%3PT%41.0%

23-28FT9-22

82.0%FT%41.0%

46Rebounds24

13Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists14

15Turnovers9

4Steals8

6Blocks2

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marvin McGhee IV	G	30	7-13	4-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	18
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	33	5-9	0-0	4-5	11	1	1	2	14
Tom Mark	F	25	3-3	2-2	6-6	6	0	1	4	14
Jemel Jones	G	25	3-7	0-1	6-7	7	3	1	0	12
Corey Stephenson	G	17	2-7	0-1	5-6	3	0	0	0	9
Kadar Waller	G	33	1-4	0-0	2-4	8	4	0	0	4
Marvin McGhee III	G	28	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
CJ Hardy	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Shakir Odunewu	C	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	37	7-17	4-8	3-9	0	4	2	0	21
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	33	5-8	2-2	0-1	2	3	2	1	12
Connor Sevilla	G	36	3-6	3-6	0-1	3	3	1	0	9
Pablo Tamba	F	34	3-9	0-1	3-7	8	3	1	1	9
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	20	2-7	2-6	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Niko Rocak	F	30	1-5	0-3	3-4	8	1	1	0	5
Nils Cooper	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jac Mani	F	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

107.7Offensive Efficiency100.2

100.2Defensive Efficiency107.7

7.6Net Efficiency-7.6

49.0%Effective FG%51.8%

57.0%True Shooting %50.4%

23.3%Turnover Rate13.3%

57.1%Free Throw Rate40.0%

26.5%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.