UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.5%UC San Diego

43.5%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -130

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 81

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreCal Poly 79

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricCal Poly

53.4MMH Power Index46.5

108.4Offensive Efficiency107.2

100.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

7.7Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.3Strength of Schedule1.7

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

69.8Tempo76.6

53.1%Effective FG%52.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate19.8%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

33.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

5.4Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–111.0), net efficiency (7.7–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.3), offensive rebounding (29.9–26.9), free throw rate (35.8–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

81—67

Cal Poly

UC San Diego by 14 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATCal Poly

30-63FG25-61

48.0%FG%41.0%

8-363PT13-34

22.0%3PT%38.0%

13-19FT4-4

68.0%FT%100.0%

36Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists12

5Turnovers17

11Steals—

1Blocks1

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	31	5-7	0-1	9-15	10	4	1	1	19
Tyler McGhie	Guard	34	6-15	5-14	0-0	6	4	0	0	17
Hayden Gray	Guard	34	6-12	2-6	0-0	5	4	4	0	14
Justin Rochelin	G	24	6-11	0-5	2-2	4	1	3	0	14
Nordin Kapic	F	26	2-7	0-4	2-2	4	1	0	0	6
Aidan Burke	G	11	2-6	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Chris Howell	G	31	2-4	0-1	0-0	5	4	3	0	4
Maximo Milovich	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Cayden Ward	G	30	7-12	3-6	0-0	9	2	0	17
Isaac Jessup	Guard	32	5-10	5-8	0-0	4	3	1	15
Peter Bandelj	G	33	4-8	0-2	3-3	8	3	0	11
Mac Riniker	Guard	17	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	7
Owen Koonce	Guard	26	2-8	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	6
Jarred Hyder	Guard	24	2-11	1-8	1-1	2	1	0	6
Guzman Vasilic	G	20	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	3
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Ethan Menzies	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

115.7Offensive Efficiency95.7

95.7Defensive Efficiency115.7

20.0Net Efficiency-20.0

54.0%Effective FG%51.6%

56.2%True Shooting %53.3%

7.4%Turnover Rate23.6%

30.2%Free Throw Rate6.6%

57.1%3-Point Rate55.7%

3.60Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.