Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Cal State Fullerton

67.5%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -208

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 78

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 84

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC Santa Barbara

49.4MMH Power Index51.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency113.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.1

1.7Net Efficiency7.1

-1.2Strength of Schedule-2.0

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

76.3Tempo68.5

52.6%Effective FG%54.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.7%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

39.6%Free Throw Rate37.9%

1.3Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–108.8), defensive efficiency (106.1–107.1), net efficiency (7.1–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-2.0), recent form (2.7–-1.7), ball security (15.1–18.7).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

56—86

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 30 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

22-57FG33-62

39.0%FG%53.0%

6-223PT12-26

27.0%3PT%46.0%

6-12FT8-13

50.0%FT%62.0%

33Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists16

13Turnovers7

5Steals7

1Blocks6

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Antwan Robinson	Guard	37	6-10	4-6	0-0	7	0	1	1	16
Donovan Oday	G	39	4-9	2-4	5-8	4	4	1	0	15
Kendrick De Luna	F	24	5-8	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	0	10
Zachary Visentin	Center	12	3-7	0-1	1-2	3	0	1	0	7
Kobe Young	Guard	37	3-9	0-5	0-0	8	2	1	0	6
LoLo Rudolph	Guard	26	1-6	0-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Keith Richard	Guard	22	0-7	0-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
John Mikey Square	Not Available	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deuce Turner	G	24	7-12	3-5	1-2	5	2	1	0	18
Zion Sensley	G	15	4-7	3-5	3-4	5	1	0	1	14
Kenny Pohto	Forward	20	4-7	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	11
Colin Smith	F	10	4-4	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Cole Anderson	Guard	23	3-6	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Stephan Swenson	Guard	22	2-5	2-4	1-2	4	3	2	0	7
Jason Fontenet II	G	23	3-5	0-2	0-1	4	2	1	1	6
Ben Shtolzberg	G	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	5	0	0	6
Max Murrell	Forward	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Evans Kipruto	C	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Ariel Bland	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	3	2
David Pickles	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Elia Bongiorno	Guard	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Max Sheldon	Guard	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Henry Hartwell	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

86.8Offensive Efficiency133.3

133.3Defensive Efficiency86.8

-46.5Net Efficiency46.5

43.9%Effective FG%62.9%

44.7%True Shooting %63.1%

20.4%Turnover Rate10.7%

21.1%Free Throw Rate21.0%

38.6%3-Point Rate41.9%

0.85Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.