Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Bowling Green

72.4%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -262

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 77

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreToledo 82

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricToledo

54.7MMH Power Index58.8

112.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

99.1Defensive Efficiency109.6

13.5Net Efficiency6.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule2.3

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

72.2Tempo69.8

53.4%Effective FG%55.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate14.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

38.7%Free Throw Rate30.3%

9.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–54.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.6), strength of schedule (2.3–-4.7), recent form (10.2–1.4).

Bowling Green COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–109.6), net efficiency (13.5–6.4), free throw rate (38.7–30.3).

Final

Bowling Green

69—68

Toledo

Bowling Green by 1 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATToledo

28-60FG24-63

47.0%FG%38.0%

8-253PT8-27

32.0%3PT%30.0%

5-7FT12-15

71.0%FT%80.0%

42Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists14

15Turnovers8

3Steals4

2Blocks3

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javontae Campbell	G	36	10-18	1-5	2-2	3	3	1	1	23
Derrick Butler	Guard	40	8-16	3-9	1-3	5	2	1	0	20
Marcus Johnson	F	33	3-8	2-4	2-2	7	0	1	0	10
DaJion Humphrey	G	37	3-8	2-5	0-0	7	1	0	0	8
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	31	2-7	0-2	0-0	12	4	0	1	4
Jamai Felt	F	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Braelon Green	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Lewis	G	35	8-16	2-8	3-5	4	2	0	0	21
Sonny Wilson	G	32	5-12	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	13
Javan Simmons	F	32	3-8	0-0	4-4	6	1	0	2	10
Isaiah Adams	Guard	33	2-9	1-5	1-2	2	7	1	1	6
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	14	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	6
Bryce Ford	G	27	1-7	1-6	2-2	11	3	1	0	5
Seth Hubbard	G	15	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Grgur Brcic	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency101.2

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

53.3%Effective FG%44.4%

54.5%True Shooting %48.5%

22.0%Turnover Rate11.7%

11.7%Free Throw Rate23.8%

41.7%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.