TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%TCU

67.0%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -203

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 70

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreCincinnati 75

Team Comparison

TCUMetricCincinnati

59.7MMH Power Index61.5

110.2Offensive Efficiency105.3

102.7Defensive Efficiency97.3

7.5Net Efficiency8.0

4.6Strength of Schedule5.1

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

70.2Tempo69.4

50.5%Effective FG%50.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

38.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.3Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–59.7), defensive efficiency (97.3–102.7), net efficiency (8.0–7.5), strength of schedule (5.1–4.6).

TCU COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.2–105.3), ball security (15.3–17.0), offensive rebounding (33.6–30.6).

Final

TCU

63—75

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 12 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATCincinnati

27-66FG28-61

41.0%FG%46.0%

6-233PT4-20

26.0%3PT%20.0%

3-4FT15-17

75.0%FT%88.0%

32Rebounds39

13Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists11

10Turnovers8

6Steals5

5Blocks4

16Fouls10

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Punch	F	33	8-13	1-2	1-2	6	3	2	1	18
Vasean Allette	PG	32	6-18	1-4	0-0	6	4	3	0	13
Trazarien White	Forward	25	3-8	2-4	2-2	2	2	1	0	10
Noah Reynolds	Guard	31	4-15	0-6	0-0	1	3	0	0	8
Jace Posey	G	17	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	2	5
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	27	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	4
Brendan Wenzel	Guard	15	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Malick Diallo	C	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Micah Robinson	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jizzle James	G	29	7-16	1-6	3-3	4	4	0	0	18
Day Day Thomas	G	33	5-15	1-6	2-2	3	3	2	0	13
Josh Reed	F	27	5-5	1-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	13
Dillon Mitchell	F	33	4-5	0-0	4-4	13	1	1	0	12
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	27	3-4	0-0	1-2	6	1	1	2	7
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	21	3-7	1-2	0-0	4	1	1	2	7
Tyler Betsey	F	18	1-6	0-4	3-4	2	1	0	0	5
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Arrinten Page	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Rayvon Griffith	F	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

96.9Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency96.9

-18.5Net Efficiency18.5

45.5%Effective FG%49.2%

46.4%True Shooting %54.3%

15.4%Turnover Rate12.3%

6.1%Free Throw Rate27.9%

34.8%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.