Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%Penn State

80.6%Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMinnesota -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMinnesota -415

Minnesota

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 68

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreMinnesota 78

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricMinnesota

42.3MMH Power Index50.5

109.2Offensive Efficiency109.1

117.6Defensive Efficiency107.7

-8.4Net Efficiency1.4

5.3Strength of Schedule3.2

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

67.5Tempo63.6

53.4%Effective FG%54.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

34.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

-5.7Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMinnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.5–42.3), defensive efficiency (107.7–117.6), net efficiency (1.4–-8.4), recent form (-6.6–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–109.1), strength of schedule (5.3–3.2), ball security (15.6–16.5).

Final

Penn State

69—60

Minnesota

Penn State by 9 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATMinnesota

21-46FG20-59

46.0%FG%34.0%

4-143PT5-23

29.0%3PT%22.0%

23-25FT15-20

92.0%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds14

18Assists15

14Turnovers10

5Steals9

7Blocks2

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	31	9-14	0-0	6-7	7	1	0	5	24
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	36	1-5	0-3	8-8	3	7	2	0	10
Freddie Dilione V	G	31	3-11	1-3	3-4	6	2	0	0	10
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	24	3-4	1-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	9
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	21	1-4	0-1	4-4	4	3	1	0	6
Zach Hicks	Forward	32	2-4	1-3	0-0	8	4	2	2	5
Jahvin Carter	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Kachi Nzeh	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Dominick Stewart	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Femi Odukale	Guard	22	4-4	1-1	6-7	2	4	1	0	15
Dawson Garcia	Forward	38	3-16	1-8	4-4	10	4	0	0	11
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	40	4-13	2-9	0-0	0	1	2	0	10
Lu'Cye Patterson	Guard	39	3-13	1-4	3-5	7	3	1	0	10
Isaac Asuma	G	27	4-6	0-1	2-2	5	2	3	1	10
Parker Fox	Forward	17	1-2	0-0	0-2	1	1	1	1	2
Frank Mitchell	F	14	1-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

106.6Offensive Efficiency92.7

92.7Defensive Efficiency106.6

13.9Net Efficiency-13.9

50.0%Effective FG%38.1%

59.6%True Shooting %43.8%

21.6%Turnover Rate15.5%

54.3%Free Throw Rate33.9%

30.4%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Penn State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.