Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Wagner

43.8%Chicago State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -128

Chicago State

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 72

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreChicago State 70

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricChicago State

42.9MMH Power Index36.1

105.5Offensive Efficiency99.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency114.9

-0.6Net Efficiency-15.5

-5.0Strength of Schedule0.5

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

67.6Tempo66.2

50.2%Effective FG%45.6%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.8%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

31.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-0.4Average Margin-10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–36.1), offensive efficiency (105.5–99.4), defensive efficiency (106.1–114.9), net efficiency (-0.6–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-5.0), ball security (15.8–18.9).

Final

Wagner

64—52

Chicago State

Wagner by 12 • 54.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATChicago State

21-43FG19-47

49.0%FG%40.0%

9-213PT9-25

43.0%3PT%36.0%

13-17FT5-10

76.0%FT%50.0%

34Rebounds22

9Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists11

11Turnovers9

5Steals6

—Blocks—

11Fouls17

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zaire Williams	G	32	7-12	4-8	2-4	9	1	1	20
R.J. Greene	G	22	6-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	13
Javier Ezquerra	G	35	3-7	3-6	2-2	4	2	2	11
Zae Blake	G	27	3-7	1-3	4-5	6	5	0	11
Zavier Fitch	F	31	0-1	0-0	4-4	5	0	1	4
Tyje Kelton	F	22	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	3
Churchill Bounds	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Ja'Kair Sanchez	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Gabe Spinelli	G	38	6-12	1-3	2-5	3	7	0	15
Noble Crawford	Forward	30	5-8	4-6	1-1	2	0	2	15
Dailliss Cox	F	25	4-9	1-2	2-4	4	1	1	11
Matthew Robinson	Guard	28	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	1	2	6
CJ Delancy	F	11	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	5
Jalen Forrest	G	28	0-7	0-4	0-0	2	2	0	0
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	22	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0
Quincy Allen	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0
Alex Raiford	Guard	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0
Joe Spinelli	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

54.0Possessions54.0

118.5Offensive Efficiency96.3

96.3Defensive Efficiency118.5

22.2Net Efficiency-22.2

59.3%Effective FG%50.0%

62.7%True Shooting %50.2%

20.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

39.5%Free Throw Rate21.3%

48.8%3-Point Rate53.2%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Wagner won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 54.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.