UL Monroe

4-28

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.9%UL Monroe

97.1%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -24.3

PROJECTED TOTAL162.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -3348

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 69

Projected Total162.3

Projected ScoreArkansas State 93

Team Comparison

UL MonroeMetricArkansas State

30.9MMH Power Index57.7

101.1Offensive Efficiency113.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency105.3

-16.0Net Efficiency7.8

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.0

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

71.7Tempo73.3

48.1%Effective FG%52.7%

16.9%Turnover Rate19.4%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

40.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-11.5Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–30.9), offensive efficiency (113.1–101.1), defensive efficiency (105.3–117.1), net efficiency (7.8–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHball security (16.9–19.4), free throw rate (40.6–39.6).

Final

UL Monroe

70—95

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 25 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UL MonroeTEAM STATArkansas State

26-61FG38-69

43.0%FG%55.0%

8-153PT15-39

53.0%3PT%38.0%

10-14FT4-9

71.0%FT%44.0%

35Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists26

13Turnovers8

5Steals11

—Blocks3

8Fouls14

Player Box Score

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Makai Willis	C	40	9-17	2-2	1-2	8	1	1	21
Jalen Bolden	G	36	6-14	2-3	2-4	6	3	0	16
Coltie Young	Guard	30	5-12	4-7	0-0	3	1	1	14
AD Diedhiou	Forward	25	3-3	0-0	1-2	9	3	0	7
Tyreese Watson	G	36	1-9	0-1	4-4	4	4	3	6
Micah Caster	G	14	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	4
Jerry Ngopot	F	15	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	2
Ajay Tew	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	17	7-11	4-6	2-2	3	3	0	1	20
Izaiyah Nelson	F	29	9-11	0-1	0-0	10	2	1	2	18
Taryn Todd	Guard	24	7-9	0-2	0-2	4	3	2	0	14
Derrian Ford	G	20	5-11	4-9	0-0	7	3	1	0	14
Kobe Julien	Forward	25	3-6	1-3	2-2	5	3	1	0	9
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	26	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	6	2	0	6
Avery Felts	Guard	22	2-6	2-6	0-0	0	3	3	0	6
Joseph Pinion	G	14	2-6	2-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Rashaud Marshall	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Zane Butler	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Josh Hill	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Justin Johnson	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jacob St. Clair	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cody Head	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

96.6Offensive Efficiency131.0

131.0Defensive Efficiency96.6

-34.5Net Efficiency34.5

49.2%Effective FG%65.9%

51.7%True Shooting %64.8%

18.1%Turnover Rate10.9%

23.0%Free Throw Rate13.0%

24.6%3-Point Rate56.5%

1.08Assist / Turnover3.25

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.