Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.7%Western Carolina

65.3%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSamford -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINESamford -188

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 77

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreSamford 82

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricSamford

53MMH Power Index54.1

112.6Offensive Efficiency113.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency108.3

1.6Net Efficiency5.2

-0.9Strength of Schedule-2.9

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

69.7Tempo69.5

51.1%Effective FG%54.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.3%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

30.8%Free Throw Rate42.5%

1.1Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Samford HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSamford holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–53.0), offensive efficiency (113.5–112.6), defensive efficiency (108.3–111.0), net efficiency (5.2–1.6).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-2.9), offensive rebounding (36.1–25.3).

Final

Western Carolina

72—93

Samford

Samford by 21 • 84.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATSamford

26-51FG36-85

51.0%FG%42.0%

9-253PT13-45

36.0%3PT%29.0%

11-20FT8-12

55.0%FT%67.0%

37Rebounds42

5Offensive Rebounds18

16Assists18

28Turnovers12

8Steals21

4Blocks—

10Fouls14

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Kell	F	31	7-10	3-4	2-2	2	3	0	3	19
Chevalier Emery	G	32	5-9	3-7	2-8	2	4	1	0	15
Bernard Pelote	Forward	26	6-9	2-4	0-0	6	2	0	0	14
Fischer Brown	G	23	2-5	1-4	2-2	4	1	2	0	7
Chase McKey	F	18	2-3	0-0	2-2	8	0	3	0	6
Cord Stansberry	G	31	1-7	0-4	2-2	5	2	1	0	4
Brandon Morgan	G	29	2-6	0-2	0-0	4	4	1	0	4
Vernon Collins	F	10	1-2	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	1	3

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trey Fort	G	28	10-17	2-5	2-2	5	1	5	24
Rylan Jones	Guard	26	6-12	4-10	0-0	5	7	0	16
Jaden Brownell	F	17	5-10	1-5	0-0	3	2	1	11
Riley Allenspach	F	18	4-10	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	8
Lukas Walls	G	21	2-7	1-4	1-1	5	2	0	6
Collin Holloway	Forward	19	1-6	0-5	4-6	5	1	2	6
Julian Brown	Guard	13	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	1	6
Brody Boyer	Guard	4	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	5
Isaiah West	G	13	1-2	1-1	1-2	0	0	4	4
Hamed Olayinka	F	8	2-3	0-0	0-1	3	1	1	4
Josh Holloway	G	25	1-8	1-5	0-0	5	2	4	3
Zion Wilburn	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0
Paulie Stramaglia	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0
Grayson Walters	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Thomas Kizer	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

84.1Possessions84.1

85.6Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency85.6

-25.0Net Efficiency25.0

59.8%Effective FG%50.0%

59.5%True Shooting %51.3%

33.5%Turnover Rate14.2%

39.2%Free Throw Rate14.1%

49.0%3-Point Rate52.9%

0.57Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Samford won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 84.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.