Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Eastern Illinois

79.1%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -378

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 68

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScoreMorehead State 76

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricMorehead State

39.9MMH Power Index47.3

99.6Offensive Efficiency110.8

104.4Defensive Efficiency110.0

-4.8Net Efficiency0.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule-4.0

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

67.4Tempo67.9

47.5%Effective FG%51.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

33.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-3.2Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–39.9), offensive efficiency (110.8–99.6), net efficiency (0.8–-4.8), recent form (3.1–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–110.0), strength of schedule (-2.4–-4.0).

Final

Eastern Illinois

67—62

Morehead State

Eastern Illinois by 5 • 61.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATMorehead State

22-50FG20-52

44.0%FG%38.0%

5-103PT10-27

50.0%3PT%37.0%

18-22FT12-14

82.0%FT%86.0%

27Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists11

10Turnovers15

9Steals5

2Blocks—

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nakyel Shelton	G	39	8-11	2-2	7-9	3	1	2	0	25
Obadiah Curtis	G	35	6-11	1-3	1-2	3	1	0	0	14
Artese Stapleton	Guard	27	2-11	0-1	9-9	5	4	1	0	13
Kooper Jacobi	F	24	3-6	2-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	8
Terry McMorris	F	24	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	3	0	5
Malik Olafioye	G	18	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Rodolfo Bolis	Forward	28	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	5	1	2	0
Lazar Grbovic	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zion Fruster	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kenny White Jr.	Forward	28	5-6	2-2	2-3	2	0	0	14
Tyler Brelsford	Guard	27	4-9	2-5	4-4	4	2	0	14
Steven Clay	G	29	4-10	2-8	0-0	8	2	1	10
Jerone Morton	G	34	2-9	1-4	2-2	3	4	3	7
Dieonte Miles	Forward	33	1-4	0-0	4-4	5	1	0	6
George Marshall	G	13	2-7	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	6
Kade Ruegsegger	Guard	12	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	3
Trent Scott	Guard	7	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	2
Anouar Mellouk	F	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.1Possessions61.1

109.7Offensive Efficiency101.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency109.7

8.2Net Efficiency-8.2

49.0%Effective FG%48.1%

55.4%True Shooting %52.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate25.1%

44.0%Free Throw Rate26.9%

20.0%3-Point Rate51.9%

1.30Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Eastern Illinois won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 61.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.