Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Portland State

62.5%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -167

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 76

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreWeber State 79

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricWeber State

50.2MMH Power Index50.2

109.3Offensive Efficiency113.6

100.2Defensive Efficiency108.2

9.1Net Efficiency5.4

-5.6Strength of Schedule-3.4

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

70.1Tempo71.5

51.7%Effective FG%52.6%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

36.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.4Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.6–109.3), strength of schedule (-3.4–-5.6), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.7), ball security (15.5–16.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–108.2), net efficiency (9.1–5.4), recent form (0.4–-1.8).

Final

Portland State

58—60

Weber State

Weber State by 2 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATWeber State

23-55FG23-56

42.0%FG%41.0%

6-243PT3-16

25.0%3PT%19.0%

6-14FT11-17

43.0%FT%65.0%

34Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists7

10Turnovers12

5Steals7

2Blocks4

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	35	6-12	2-6	0-0	6	1	1	1	14
Terri Miller Jr.	F	30	5-15	0-3	4-6	11	3	1	0	14
Qiant Myers	Guard	35	4-10	1-6	1-4	3	5	1	0	10
Cole Farrell	G	19	2-4	1-2	1-1	1	0	0	0	6
Shane Nowell	Guard	22	2-3	1-2	0-1	4	0	2	1	5
Kelcy Phipps	G	10	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	39	1-5	0-2	0-2	3	0	0	0	2
Isaac Brice	F	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blaise Threatt	Guard	39	12-24	0-2	3-4	5	2	1	0	27
Trevor Hennig	G	37	6-13	2-4	1-2	3	3	0	0	15
Viljami Vartiainen	G	36	1-5	1-5	5-6	5	1	1	0	8
Alex Tew	Center	23	2-3	0-0	1-1	2	0	4	2	5
Nigel Burris	F	29	2-8	0-4	0-0	10	0	1	0	4
Saadiq Moore	Guard	15	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	0
Declan Cutler	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Nemanja Sarenac	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

90.8Offensive Efficiency93.9

93.9Defensive Efficiency90.8

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

47.3%Effective FG%43.8%

47.0%True Shooting %46.8%

16.2%Turnover Rate18.2%

25.5%Free Throw Rate30.4%

43.6%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Weber State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.