Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.4%Western Illinois

92.6%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -1251

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 64

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 80

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricLittle Rock

25.9MMH Power Index44

96.2Offensive Efficiency103.0

113.9Defensive Efficiency108.2

-17.7Net Efficiency-5.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.5

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

67.5Tempo68.5

45.4%Effective FG%50.3%

17.5%Turnover Rate18.7%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

37.5%Free Throw Rate28.6%

-11.9Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–25.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–96.2), defensive efficiency (108.2–113.9), net efficiency (-5.2–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHball security (17.5–18.7), free throw rate (37.5–28.6).

Final

Western Illinois

61—75

Little Rock

Little Rock by 14 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATLittle Rock

22-51FG32-66

43.0%FG%48.0%

10-263PT6-16

38.0%3PT%38.0%

7-12FT5-8

58.0%FT%63.0%

30Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists15

14Turnovers9

6Steals11

2Blocks3

10Fouls9

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Myers	G	37	6-15	5-10	0-2	8	3	1	0	17
Trey Deveaux	F	37	4-8	3-3	0-0	9	3	1	0	11
Sean Smith	G	33	4-5	1-1	0-0	4	1	2	0	9
Julius Rollins	G	29	2-10	0-6	5-6	2	4	1	1	9
Marko Maletic	Guard	19	2-7	1-6	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Rodrick Payne	Forward	23	3-3	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	1	6
Massal Diouf	Forward	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Caleb Thompson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kayden Carter	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kiyron Powell	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	39	10-16	3-5	2-3	2	1	2	0	25
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	30	7-14	0-0	1-3	12	3	3	2	15
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	33	5-12	2-5	0-0	8	0	2	0	12
Ante Beljan	F	34	5-10	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	10
Isaiah Lewis	G	25	3-6	1-3	0-0	4	2	2	1	7
Johnathan Lawson	G	36	2-8	0-3	2-2	8	6	2	0	6
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Hughes	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

93.4Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.9Defensive Efficiency93.4

-21.4Net Efficiency21.4

52.9%Effective FG%53.0%

53.8%True Shooting %53.7%

21.6%Turnover Rate13.7%

23.5%Free Throw Rate12.1%

51.0%3-Point Rate24.2%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.