Eastern Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.5%Eastern Michigan

25.5%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEastern Michigan -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEEastern Michigan -292

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Michigan 76

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 71

Team Comparison

Eastern MichiganMetricNorthern Illinois

43.4MMH Power Index29.2

102.4Offensive Efficiency99.7

106.6Defensive Efficiency111.6

-4.2Net Efficiency-11.9

1.4Strength of Schedule-2.1

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

69.0Tempo69.7

49.9%Effective FG%48.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate21.3%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

30.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-2.8Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Eastern Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEastern Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.4–29.2), offensive efficiency (102.4–99.7), defensive efficiency (106.6–111.6), net efficiency (-4.2–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–28.0), free throw rate (39.6–30.3).

Final

Eastern Michigan

79—76

Northern Illinois

Eastern Michigan by 3 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern MichiganTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

21-50FG25-55

42.0%FG%45.0%

9-223PT15-27

41.0%3PT%56.0%

28-36FT11-17

78.0%FT%65.0%

35Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists11

7Turnovers11

6Steals5

4Blocks3

13Fouls21

Player Box Score

Eastern Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Terry	Guard	38	9-19	6-12	4-5	6	0	2	0	28
Da'Sean Nelson	Forward	32	4-13	0-1	11-15	5	1	0	3	19
Christian Henry	G	39	3-8	1-4	3-4	4	6	2	0	10
Jalin Billingsley	Forward	28	1-4	0-2	7-9	8	1	0	1	9
Arne Osojnik	G	24	3-4	2-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	8
Dillon Tingler	G	16	1-1	0-0	3-3	0	0	2	0	5
John Shanu II	C	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Yusuf Jihad	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Julian Lewis	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	40	8-16	3-5	1-2	8	4	1	2	20
James Dent Jr.	G	32	5-14	5-9	4-5	4	4	3	0	19
Tsvet Sotirov	F	27	6-7	5-6	0-0	1	0	0	1	17
Steven Tipton	G	18	3-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Jayden Mott	F	16	1-3	0-0	4-6	5	0	0	0	6
Nas Muhammad	G	26	1-5	1-2	0-0	2	3	1	0	3
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	25	1-5	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Kailon Nicholls	G	16	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

123.2Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency123.2

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

51.0%Effective FG%59.1%

58.9%True Shooting %60.2%

11.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

72.0%Free Throw Rate30.9%

44.0%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Eastern Michigan won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.