UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%UC Riverside

75.0%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -300

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 78

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreCal Poly 85

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricCal Poly

41.2MMH Power Index46.5

103.1Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

-7.0Net Efficiency-3.8

0.5Strength of Schedule1.7

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

70.7Tempo76.6

49.8%Effective FG%52.2%

18.5%Turnover Rate19.8%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

35.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-4.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.1), net efficiency (-3.8–-7.0), strength of schedule (1.7–0.5).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.1–111.0), ball security (18.5–19.8).

Final

UC Riverside

100—112

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 12 • 89.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATCal Poly

31-73FG39-72

42.0%FG%54.0%

11-323PT10-31

34.0%3PT%32.0%

27-31FT24-32

87.0%FT%75.0%

40Rebounds43

13Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists9

12Turnovers14

7Steals3

1Blocks2

25Fouls22

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barrington Hargress	G	41	9-26	2-7	5-6	5	3	1	0	25
Nate Pickens	G	28	6-10	1-3	11-12	6	3	1	0	24
Isaiah Moses	G	39	5-9	2-5	4-4	4	4	3	0	16
Kaleb Smith	F	32	5-12	3-7	0-0	4	0	2	0	13
Niyi Olabode	Guard	27	2-7	2-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Rikus Schulte	F	15	2-4	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	0	6
Joel Armotrading	C	22	1-2	0-0	2-3	8	0	0	1	4
Luke Turner	Forward	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jack Whitbourn	C	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Gavin Davis	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarred Hyder	Guard	37	10-18	3-8	2-2	9	1	0	0	25
Peter Bandelj	G	40	8-17	3-9	5-9	8	4	1	0	24
Cayden Ward	G	32	6-12	1-3	3-4	6	1	1	0	16
Isaac Jessup	Guard	42	5-9	3-6	2-4	2	2	1	0	15
Owen Koonce	Guard	30	3-7	0-4	6-6	6	0	0	0	12
Mac Riniker	Guard	11	2-3	0-1	4-4	3	1	0	1	8
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	12	3-3	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	7
Guzman Vasilic	G	21	2-3	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1	5

Advanced Game Stats

89.0Possessions89.0

112.4Offensive Efficiency125.8

125.8Defensive Efficiency112.4

-13.5Net Efficiency13.5

50.0%Effective FG%61.1%

57.0%True Shooting %64.2%

13.8%Turnover Rate15.4%

42.5%Free Throw Rate44.4%

43.8%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 89.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.