Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.8%Cal State Northridge

58.2%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -139

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 79

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreUC Davis 82

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUC Davis

50MMH Power Index48.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency107.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency103.7

2.1Net Efficiency3.5

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.9

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

75.9Tempo72.4

51.0%Effective FG%52.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.7%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.7%Free Throw Rate41.5%

1.6Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–48.4), offensive efficiency (107.3–107.2), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.9), recent form (1.8–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–105.2), net efficiency (3.5–2.1), shooting efficiency (52.3–51.0).

Final

Cal State Northridge

65—62

UC Davis

Cal State Northridge by 3 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUC Davis

23-46FG22-57

50.0%FG%39.0%

3-133PT8-24

23.0%3PT%33.0%

16-20FT10-12

80.0%FT%83.0%

37Rebounds23

12Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists9

19Turnovers11

5Steals12

—Blocks5

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Mahmoud Fofana	F	37	6-8	0-0	8-10	13	0	2	20
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	37	6-11	3-7	4-5	7	1	1	19
Scotty Washington	G	39	7-10	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	14
Keonte Jones	G	29	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	4	1	6
Jordan Brinson	G	17	0-4	0-3	3-4	1	0	1	3
Grady Lewis	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	3
Tyler Beard	Guard	30	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0
Judson Martindale	Forward	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	37	11-25	2-8	0-0	2	7	2	1	24
Connor Sevilla	G	36	4-7	4-6	2-2	3	0	2	1	14
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	30	3-9	1-5	2-2	4	0	1	0	9
Pablo Tamba	F	25	3-9	0-0	2-2	4	0	5	0	8
Niko Rocak	F	32	0-0	0-0	4-6	5	2	0	2	4
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	17	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Nils Cooper	G	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	0	0
Jamaal Unuakhalu	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Sione Lose	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

103.8Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency103.8

4.8Net Efficiency-4.8

53.3%Effective FG%45.6%

58.6%True Shooting %49.4%

30.4%Turnover Rate17.5%

43.5%Free Throw Rate21.1%

28.3%3-Point Rate42.1%

0.42Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.