Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Murray State

64.5%Bradley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBradley -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBradley -182

Bradley

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 78

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreBradley 83

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricBradley

53.6MMH Power Index54.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency105.3

4.0Net Efficiency5.2

3.5Strength of Schedule1.6

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

72.3Tempo69.9

54.0%Effective FG%51.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %27.7%

39.1%Free Throw Rate37.2%

2.9Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bradley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBradley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–53.6), defensive efficiency (105.3–111.0), net efficiency (5.2–4.0), recent form (0.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), strength of schedule (3.5–1.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–51.2).

Final

Murray State

83—85

Bradley

Bradley by 2 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATBradley

24-60FG30-66

40.0%FG%45.0%

9-273PT12-22

33.0%3PT%55.0%

26-32FT13-18

81.0%FT%72.0%

35Rebounds45

9Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists11

9Turnovers12

9Steals4

4Blocks8

21Fouls24

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terence Harcum	Guard	39	7-15	3-8	5-7	4	4	2	0	22
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	26	6-9	0-0	5-7	8	0	1	2	17
AJ Ferguson	Guard	45	3-11	2-6	7-8	5	1	2	2	15
Kylen Milton	Guard	39	4-10	2-4	2-2	6	0	2	0	12
JaCobi Wood	Guard	45	2-8	2-8	4-4	3	6	0	0	10
Nick Ellington	F	19	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	0	5
Alden Applewhite	F	12	0-3	0-1	2-2	3	0	2	0	2

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duke Deen	Guard	34	6-14	6-11	6-7	4	3	1	1	24
Jaquan Johnson	G	35	7-12	2-3	2-4	5	3	1	0	18
Christian Davis	Guard	33	6-8	3-3	2-3	8	0	0	0	17
Darius Hannah	Forward	37	6-15	0-1	0-1	5	2	2	0	12
Zek Montgomery	Guard	30	2-9	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	5
Corey Thomas	F	11	2-4	0-1	1-1	5	0	0	3	5
Ahmet Jonovic	C	20	0-1	0-0	2-2	9	0	0	2	2
Almar Atlason	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Demarion Burch	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

111.6Offensive Efficiency114.2

114.2Defensive Efficiency111.6

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

47.5%Effective FG%54.5%

55.2%True Shooting %57.0%

12.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

53.3%Free Throw Rate27.3%

45.0%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.44Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Bradley won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.