Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.0%Indiana State

92.0%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -16.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -1150

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 69

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreBelmont 86

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricBelmont

44.4MMH Power Index61.8

104.7Offensive Efficiency118.6

106.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

-1.3Net Efficiency14.9

0.1Strength of Schedule-0.2

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

70.3Tempo70.7

53.6%Effective FG%60.7%

19.5%Turnover Rate17.8%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

28.8%Free Throw Rate32.7%

-0.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–44.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (103.7–106.0), net efficiency (14.9–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.1–-0.2).

Final

Indiana State

75—77

Belmont

Belmont by 2 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATBelmont

28-72FG24-59

39.0%FG%41.0%

15-453PT9-26

33.0%3PT%35.0%

4-6FT20-25

67.0%FT%80.0%

41Rebounds41

13Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists17

12Turnovers13

8Steals8

1Blocks3

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camp Wagner	G	37	11-23	9-18	0-0	3	1	2	0	31
K'mani Doughty	Guard	32	4-10	3-9	2-2	4	3	1	0	13
Derek Vorst	C	21	4-8	1-2	0-0	9	0	0	1	9
Jaden Daughtry	F	19	3-5	0-0	2-4	2	2	2	0	8
Bruno Alocen	G	18	2-5	1-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Jayan Walker	G	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Samage Teel	Guard	36	1-12	0-8	0-0	6	11	2	0	2
Aaron Gray	Forward	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Josiah LeGree	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carter Whitt	Guard	35	4-12	1-5	6-8	9	9	1	0	15
Isaiah Walker	G	35	5-10	0-2	3-4	8	3	4	0	13
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	20	4-10	3-6	2-2	4	0	0	0	13
Brody Peebles	Guard	16	4-7	2-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	12
Tyler Lundblade	G	29	2-7	2-6	2-2	2	0	1	0	8
Sam Orme	F	11	2-2	1-1	3-3	3	0	1	0	8
Aidan Noyes	F	18	2-4	0-2	2-2	3	2	0	0	6
Drew Scharnowski	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	2	2
Brigham Rogers	F	25	0-5	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

101.5Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

49.3%Effective FG%48.3%

50.1%True Shooting %54.3%

16.2%Turnover Rate17.6%

8.3%Free Throw Rate42.4%

62.5%3-Point Rate44.1%

1.58Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Belmont won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.