Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Boise State

63.2%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -172

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 74

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreNevada 78

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricNevada

59.5MMH Power Index59.8

113.9Offensive Efficiency112.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency105.7

6.8Net Efficiency6.7

4.2Strength of Schedule3.7

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

68.6Tempo67.7

52.7%Effective FG%50.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

42.7%Free Throw Rate46.0%

4.7Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–112.4), net efficiency (6.8–6.7), strength of schedule (4.2–3.7), shooting efficiency (52.7–50.2).

Nevada COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.8–59.5), defensive efficiency (105.7–107.1), recent form (7.8–5.2).

Final

Boise State

70—69

Nevada

Boise State by 1 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATNevada

25-54FG28-54

46.0%FG%52.0%

8-253PT7-19

32.0%3PT%37.0%

12-17FT6-12

71.0%FT%50.0%

37Rebounds26

9Offensive Rebounds4

16Assists15

12Turnovers8

7Steals7

1Blocks4

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Meadow	F	34	8-13	2-6	6-8	4	1	2	0	24
Javan Buchanan	F	29	7-9	3-3	0-0	4	1	3	0	17
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	33	4-12	1-5	5-7	2	1	1	0	14
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	39	3-9	1-5	1-2	3	9	1	0	8
RJ Keene II	G	28	1-3	1-3	0-0	9	3	0	0	3
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Pearson Carmichael	F	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Julian Bowie	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	37	13-19	1-3	3-7	4	4	1	0	30
Nick Davidson	F	37	7-12	2-4	2-3	5	3	3	2	18
Tyler Rolison	G	36	2-6	2-5	1-2	7	7	1	0	7
Justin McBride	F	23	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Xavier DuSell	Guard	31	2-8	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Chuck Bailey III	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Brandon Love	Forward	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Jeriah Coleman	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

108.7Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency108.7

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

53.7%Effective FG%58.3%

56.4%True Shooting %57.8%

18.4%Turnover Rate12.6%

31.5%Free Throw Rate22.2%

46.3%3-Point Rate35.2%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Boise State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.