Harvard

17-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Harvard

63.2%Pennsylvania

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPennsylvania -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL143.9

MODEL MONEYLINEPennsylvania -172

Pennsylvania

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHarvard 70

Projected Total143.9

Projected ScorePennsylvania 74

Team Comparison

HarvardMetricPennsylvania

52.6MMH Power Index52.9

108.1Offensive Efficiency108.6

102.9Defensive Efficiency106.4

5.2Net Efficiency2.2

-0.1Strength of Schedule1.9

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.3

64.8Tempo69.9

53.4%Effective FG%50.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

27.9%Free Throw Rate36.3%

3.4Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pennsylvania HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPennsylvania holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.9–52.6), offensive efficiency (108.6–108.1), strength of schedule (1.9–-0.1), ball security (15.4–17.2).

Harvard COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.9–106.4), net efficiency (5.2–2.2), recent form (8.3–2.3).

Final

Harvard

79—78

Pennsylvania

Harvard by 1 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HarvardTEAM STATPennsylvania

27-60FG32-63

45.0%FG%51.0%

6-273PT3-14

22.0%3PT%21.0%

19-20FT11-15

95.0%FT%73.0%

32Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists13

8Turnovers9

5Steals3

3Blocks1

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Harvard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Hinton	G	39	5-10	0-2	12-13	8	3	1	0	22
Thomas Batties III	F	41	6-15	1-6	2-2	2	1	0	1	15
Chandler Pigge	G	35	5-13	2-8	2-2	2	0	0	1	14
Austin Hunt	G	26	6-7	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	13
Evan Nelson	G	35	4-9	2-5	0-0	1	3	2	0	10
Tey Barbour	G	7	0-2	0-2	3-3	2	0	0	0	3
Louis Lesmond	G	34	1-3	0-2	0-0	7	2	2	1	2
Ben Eisendrath	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Spinoso	Forward	29	11-17	0-0	2-3	8	2	0	0	24
Sam Brown	G	44	7-15	2-4	3-3	2	3	0	0	19
Augustus Gerhart	F	16	4-5	0-0	4-5	3	1	0	1	12
Ethan Roberts	F	39	4-9	1-3	2-3	5	1	1	0	11
George Smith	Guard	40	4-7	0-2	0-1	3	2	1	0	8
AJ Levine	G	25	1-5	0-1	0-0	4	3	1	0	2
Niklas Polonowski	F	21	1-4	0-3	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Michael Zanoni	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Johnnie Walter	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

112.4Offensive Efficiency111.0

111.0Defensive Efficiency112.4

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

50.0%Effective FG%53.2%

56.8%True Shooting %55.6%

11.3%Turnover Rate12.8%

33.3%Free Throw Rate23.8%

45.0%3-Point Rate22.2%

1.63Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Harvard won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.