Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Northwestern State

76.0%New Orleans

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Orleans -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.0

MODEL MONEYLINENew Orleans -317

New Orleans

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 69

Projected Total145.0

Projected ScoreNew Orleans 76

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricNew Orleans

41.3MMH Power Index47.1

104.0Offensive Efficiency107.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency109.6

-5.0Net Efficiency-2.6

-1.6Strength of Schedule0.2

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

63.6Tempo70.8

49.5%Effective FG%50.5%

17.6%Turnover Rate20.2%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %35.7%

41.2%Free Throw Rate48.4%

-3.2Average Margin-1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Orleans HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Orleans holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (107.0–104.0), net efficiency (-2.6–-5.0), strength of schedule (0.2–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–109.6), ball security (17.6–20.2).

Final

Northwestern State

73—66

New Orleans

Northwestern State by 7 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATNew Orleans

25-49FG23-63

51.0%FG%37.0%

12-233PT6-20

52.0%3PT%30.0%

11-15FT14-19

73.0%FT%74.0%

37Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds19

15Assists14

17Turnovers7

4Steals13

3Blocks2

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	25	7-14	5-9	4-4	4	3	0	0	23
Love Bettis	G	29	4-8	1-2	6-6	2	4	1	0	15
Jerald Colonel	F	25	4-6	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	1	8
Justin Redmond	G	16	3-4	2-2	0-2	1	1	0	0	8
Landyn Jumawan	G	33	2-5	2-5	0-0	0	1	0	1	6
Chris Mubiru	G	6	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	15	1-2	0-0	1-3	4	1	2	1	3
Jon Sanders II	G	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
JT Warren	Forward	12	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	2	1	0	2
Willie Williams	F	27	0-1	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	0

New Orleans

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kohen Rowbatham	G	36	7-15	2-6	4-4	2	3	1	0	20
Luke Davis	F	34	6-15	2-4	3-5	9	1	2	0	17
MJ Thomas	F	35	2-8	0-0	7-8	9	3	4	1	11
Leland Coleman	F	28	3-6	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
JR Jacobs	Guard	30	2-7	0-2	0-0	1	3	2	1	4
Theo Grant	Guard	12	2-6	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Grant Kemp	G	24	1-6	1-4	0-2	2	3	3	0	3
Jackson Sowards	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

121.5Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency121.5

11.6Net Efficiency-11.6

63.3%Effective FG%41.3%

65.0%True Shooting %45.8%

28.3%Turnover Rate11.7%

30.6%Free Throw Rate30.2%

46.9%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.88Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.