Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Valparaiso

73.7%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL143.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -280

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 68

Projected Total143.3

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 76

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricSouthern Illinois

49.9MMH Power Index54.6

106.6Offensive Efficiency103.4

105.8Defensive Efficiency98.5

0.8Net Efficiency4.9

0.3Strength of Schedule1.6

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

67.5Tempo70.6

48.7%Effective FG%49.5%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

40.0%Free Throw Rate32.3%

0.5Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–49.9), defensive efficiency (98.5–105.8), net efficiency (4.9–0.8), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.6–103.4), ball security (15.6–17.0), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.1).

Final

Valparaiso

83—79

Southern Illinois

Valparaiso by 4 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

29-70FG30-62

41.0%FG%48.0%

10-273PT9-19

37.0%3PT%47.0%

15-17FT10-16

88.0%FT%63.0%

34Rebounds42

11Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists15

7Turnovers13

8Steals4

3Blocks3

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
All Wright	G	36	10-26	3-8	6-6	4	3	2	0	29
Justus McNair	G	14	4-6	2-4	4-5	1	0	2	0	14
Cooper Schwieger	F	35	4-12	0-1	4-4	8	2	1	2	12
Tyler Schmidt	G	33	4-7	2-3	0-0	7	4	1	1	10
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	19	4-8	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	10
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	25	2-4	1-3	1-2	0	4	0	0	6
Kaspar Sepp	F	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Devon Ellis	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Isaiah Shaw	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Carson Schwieger	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	40	8-18	1-5	4-4	3	6	1	1	21
Ali Dibba	G	37	6-15	3-3	1-2	7	1	1	0	16
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	35	4-5	2-3	1-2	6	4	0	0	11
Drew Steffe	G	22	4-7	2-5	1-1	2	1	1	0	11
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	30	4-10	1-2	1-3	12	1	0	1	10
Davion Sykes	G	14	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Sheridan Sharp	G	8	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
Jorge Moreno	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	2
Rolyns Aligbe	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

113.9Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency113.9

5.5Net Efficiency-5.5

48.6%Effective FG%55.6%

53.2%True Shooting %56.8%

9.4%Turnover Rate18.2%

24.3%Free Throw Rate25.8%

38.6%3-Point Rate30.6%

2.29Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.