Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Georgia State

80.7%Old Dominion

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOld Dominion -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEOld Dominion -418

Old Dominion

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 71

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 80

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricOld Dominion

38.9MMH Power Index47.2

101.3Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.5Defensive Efficiency109.8

-6.2Net Efficiency-2.4

-1.7Strength of Schedule-0.1

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

69.5Tempo70.9

45.3%Effective FG%50.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.1%

37.4%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-4.3Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Old Dominion HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOld Dominion holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.2–38.9), offensive efficiency (107.4–101.3), net efficiency (-2.4–-6.2), strength of schedule (-0.1–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–109.8), offensive rebounding (28.2–26.1), free throw rate (37.4–35.2).

Final

Georgia State

76—70

Old Dominion

Georgia State by 6 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATOld Dominion

29-61FG28-82

48.0%FG%34.0%

7-163PT10-33

44.0%3PT%30.0%

11-12FT4-8

92.0%FT%50.0%

45Rebounds44

14Offensive Rebounds26

13Assists15

12Turnovers5

1Steals8

5Blocks3

12Fouls16

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jelani Hamilton	G	35	8-13	4-6	4-4	9	5	0	0	24
Zarique Nutter	F	26	8-13	1-2	1-2	2	0	1	2	18
Cesare Edwards	Center	38	5-12	1-2	2-2	5	3	0	2	13
Toneari Lane	G	29	1-6	1-4	4-4	4	1	0	0	7
Clash Peters	F	12	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	6
Malachi Brown	G	30	2-6	0-2	0-0	4	3	0	0	4
Nick McMullen	Forward	25	2-6	0-0	0-0	10	0	0	0	4
Malik Ferguson	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Durugordon	Guard	31	7-20	1-3	1-2	14	0	1	1	16
Robert Davis Jr.	G	39	5-19	3-14	0-0	4	4	0	0	13
Scottie Hubbard	G	18	4-6	3-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	11
Dani Pounds	F	14	4-10	3-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	11
Jaden Johnson	G	40	3-6	0-1	2-4	3	7	4	0	8
Caden Diggs	F	14	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
R.J. Blakney	Forward	19	1-7	0-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	16	1-5	0-0	0-0	8	3	1	2	2
Donovan Raymond	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Vytautas Zygas	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cooper Jones	G	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

117.3Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency117.3

9.3Net Efficiency-9.3

53.3%Effective FG%40.2%

57.0%True Shooting %40.8%

18.5%Turnover Rate7.7%

19.7%Free Throw Rate9.8%

26.2%3-Point Rate40.2%

1.08Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.