William & Mary

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%William & Mary

39.8%Elon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWilliam & Mary -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.6

MODEL MONEYLINEWilliam & Mary -151

Elon

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 82

Projected Total162.6

Projected ScoreElon 80

Team Comparison

William & MaryMetricElon

53.8MMH Power Index45.5

112.5Offensive Efficiency113.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency112.7

7.3Net Efficiency0.3

-1.5Strength of Schedule-1.4

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-13.7

73.9Tempo69.1

55.3%Effective FG%52.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %33.4%

45.3%Free Throw Rate34.0%

5.4Average Margin0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

William & Mary HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWilliam & Mary holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–45.5), defensive efficiency (105.2–112.7), net efficiency (7.3–0.3), recent form (3.5–-13.7).

Elon COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.0–112.5), strength of schedule (-1.4–-1.5), ball security (15.6–16.4).

Final

William & Mary

79—70

Elon

William & Mary by 9 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

William & MaryTEAM STATElon

28-63FG23-50

44.0%FG%46.0%

14-363PT5-19

39.0%3PT%26.0%

9-11FT19-27

82.0%FT%70.0%

30Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds13

16Assists8

9Turnovers17

10Steals6

1Blocks6

24Fouls13

Player Box Score

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	33	7-11	7-9	0-0	2	1	0	1	21
Kyle Pulliam	G	23	3-11	1-6	6-7	4	1	1	0	13
Caleb Dorsey	Forward	24	4-9	2-6	2-2	5	2	1	0	12
Chase Lowe	G	22	5-9	0-0	0-0	4	6	2	0	10
Keller Boothby	Forward	27	3-5	3-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Malachi Ndur	Forward	12	3-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Matteus Case	Guard	26	2-5	0-2	1-2	3	3	3	0	5
Isaiah Mbeng	G	20	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	3	0	2
Finn Lally	F	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Kyle Frazier	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Takai Simpkins	G	40	9-18	3-9	9-12	3	3	0	1	30
Sam Sherry	Forward	36	6-10	1-3	6-6	8	2	0	1	19
Brayden Crump	F	19	3-6	1-3	1-1	5	0	0	0	8
Drew King	G	32	2-7	0-2	0-1	4	2	5	0	4
Kendall Campbell	Forward	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Matt Van Komen	C	25	1-2	0-0	1-3	11	1	1	3	3
Isaac Harrell	F	31	0-4	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	2
Trey O'Neil	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

117.0Offensive Efficiency103.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency117.0

13.3Net Efficiency-13.3

55.6%Effective FG%51.0%

57.9%True Shooting %55.7%

13.2%Turnover Rate25.4%

17.5%Free Throw Rate54.0%

57.1%3-Point Rate38.0%

1.78Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

William & Mary won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.