Portland

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Portland

78.2%Pacific

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPacific -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPacific -359

Pacific

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland 69

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScorePacific 79

Team Comparison

PortlandMetricPacific

42.7MMH Power Index49.6

104.8Offensive Efficiency109.9

110.6Defensive Efficiency104.0

-5.8Net Efficiency5.9

1.8Strength of Schedule-1.5

-8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

71.0Tempo66.2

52.0%Effective FG%53.5%

19.3%Turnover Rate19.7%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

36.9%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-4.1Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pacific HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPacific holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–42.7), offensive efficiency (109.9–104.8), defensive efficiency (104.0–110.6), net efficiency (5.9–-5.8).

Portland COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-1.5), ball security (19.3–19.7), free throw rate (36.9–30.9).

Final

Portland

81—73

Pacific

Portland by 8 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PortlandTEAM STATPacific

30-58FG25-55

52.0%FG%45.0%

8-243PT8-21

33.0%3PT%38.0%

13-18FT15-16

72.0%FT%94.0%

27Rebounds35

3Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists15

3Turnovers12

6Steals2

4Blocks4

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Austin	Guard	40	9-13	2-4	4-5	7	2	4	0	24
Vukasin Masic	G	38	6-10	2-5	2-2	3	3	1	0	16
Austin Rapp	F	39	6-16	2-9	1-1	5	4	0	3	15
Max Mackinnon	G	33	5-11	0-2	5-8	6	4	0	1	15
Bol Dengdit	F	32	4-5	2-2	1-2	2	2	0	0	11
Vincent Delano	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	3	1	0	0
Kelson Gebbers	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Pacific

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Fisher	G	40	8-14	0-1	7-7	6	2	0	0	23
Petar Krivokapic	Guard	32	3-8	3-7	2-2	2	2	0	0	11
Elias Ralph	F	40	4-13	0-5	2-2	11	4	0	3	10
Jefferson Koulibaly	G	28	3-8	2-4	1-2	2	2	0	0	9
Kris Keinys	F	22	3-4	1-1	2-2	5	0	0	1	9
Seth Jones	G	12	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Lamar Washington	G	13	1-3	0-0	1-1	1	3	0	0	3
Jazz Gardner	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

120.7Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency120.7

11.9Net Efficiency-11.9

58.6%Effective FG%52.7%

60.9%True Shooting %58.3%

4.5%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.0%Free Throw Rate29.1%

41.4%3-Point Rate38.2%

6.00Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Portland won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.