San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%San Diego State

75.6%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -310

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 72

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricUtah State

60.1MMH Power Index65.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency119.7

99.3Defensive Efficiency103.1

11.0Net Efficiency16.6

3.8Strength of Schedule3.5

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

70.8Tempo68.6

53.2%Effective FG%56.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

7.8Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.3), net efficiency (16.6–11.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–53.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–103.1), strength of schedule (3.8–3.5), recent form (0.4–0.3).

Final

San Diego State

71—79

Utah State

Utah State by 8 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATUtah State

23-52FG21-51

44.0%FG%41.0%

10-303PT11-27

33.0%3PT%41.0%

15-22FT26-32

68.0%FT%81.0%

30Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists13

8Turnovers7

6Steals3

3Blocks2

27Fouls20

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	28	4-11	2-5	5-5	2	6	1	0	15
BJ Davis	G	21	4-8	4-7	2-2	5	1	1	0	14
Miles Byrd	G	34	2-12	1-9	3-4	3	2	0	0	8
Taj DeGourville	G	27	2-5	1-4	3-6	4	1	0	0	8
Pharaoh Compton	F	17	3-3	0-0	1-3	1	1	0	1	7
Miles Heide	F	18	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Kimo Ferrari	Guard	13	2-2	2-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	23	2-3	0-0	1-2	5	1	2	0	5
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	17	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	1	1	1	2
Magoon Gwath	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dexter Akanno	Guard	27	9-12	7-9	1-1	5	0	0	0	26
Ian Martinez	Guard	33	4-9	3-6	7-7	4	3	0	0	18
Deyton Albury	G	18	3-7	0-0	12-13	3	1	0	0	18
Drake Allen	G	19	1-4	0-2	4-6	2	4	0	1	6
Mason Falslev	G	32	1-8	0-3	1-2	9	2	2	0	3
Aubin Gateretse	Center	26	1-2	0-0	1-3	6	1	1	0	3
Tucker Anderson	F	25	1-6	1-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Karson Templin	F	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	2
Jordy Barnes	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

112.0Offensive Efficiency124.6

124.6Defensive Efficiency112.0

-12.6Net Efficiency12.6

53.8%Effective FG%52.0%

56.8%True Shooting %59.7%

12.4%Turnover Rate11.3%

42.3%Free Throw Rate62.7%

57.7%3-Point Rate52.9%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Utah State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.