Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%Sacramento State

69.7%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -230

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreIdaho State 83

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricIdaho State

43MMH Power Index45.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency113.4

-5.9Net Efficiency-2.4

0.9Strength of Schedule0.2

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

73.2Tempo67.1

48.5%Effective FG%52.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-4.3Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.0–106.1), net efficiency (-2.4–-5.9), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.5).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.0–113.4), strength of schedule (0.9–0.2), recent form (-7.8–-9.6).

Final

Sacramento State

66—83

Idaho State

Idaho State by 17 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATIdaho State

23-51FG31-56

45.0%FG%55.0%

12-273PT10-23

44.0%3PT%43.0%

8-19FT11-19

42.0%FT%58.0%

27Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists16

15Turnovers8

4Steals3

2Blocks6

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	18	5-6	2-2	5-9	0	1	0	1	17
EJ Neal Jr.	G	34	4-7	3-5	0-0	1	1	2	0	11
Emil Skytta	G	30	4-8	3-7	0-0	5	4	0	0	11
Chudi Dioramma	F	22	4-8	0-0	2-7	7	0	0	1	10
Bailey Nunn	G	34	3-10	2-7	1-2	4	5	1	0	9
Lachlan Brewer	G	39	2-6	1-2	0-1	6	2	1	0	5
Leo Ricketts	Guard	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Michael Wilson	G	16	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	39	7-14	4-8	2-2	5	6	1	0	20
Jake O'Neil	Guard	33	6-10	1-3	2-5	10	3	0	0	15
Isaiah Griffin	F	33	5-11	0-4	2-3	6	1	0	0	12
AJ Burgin	Guard	16	4-6	4-5	0-1	1	1	0	0	12
Blake Daberkow	F	18	5-8	1-2	0-2	1	0	1	1	11
Evan Otten	F	14	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	4	6
Connor Hollenbeck	F	32	1-2	0-1	3-4	5	5	0	1	5
Jackson Greene	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Jaedyn Brown	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

98.5Offensive Efficiency123.9

123.9Defensive Efficiency98.5

-25.4Net Efficiency25.4

56.9%Effective FG%64.3%

55.0%True Shooting %63.8%

22.1%Turnover Rate12.1%

37.3%Free Throw Rate33.9%

52.9%3-Point Rate41.1%

0.87Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.