Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Tarleton State

74.4%UT Arlington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Arlington -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Arlington -291

UT Arlington

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 67

Projected Total142.3

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 75

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricUT Arlington

44.6MMH Power Index49.6

103.2Offensive Efficiency102.7

101.6Defensive Efficiency97.9

1.6Net Efficiency4.8

-2.3Strength of Schedule-0.8

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

72.2Tempo68.1

49.0%Effective FG%48.5%

19.9%Turnover Rate20.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

42.8%Free Throw Rate43.7%

1.1Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Arlington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Arlington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–44.6), defensive efficiency (97.9–101.6), net efficiency (4.8–1.6), strength of schedule (-0.8–-2.3).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (103.2–102.7), shooting efficiency (49.0–48.5), ball security (19.9–20.4).

Final

Tarleton State

57—57

UT Arlington

Tied • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATUT Arlington

21-57FG21-57

37.0%FG%37.0%

2-113PT2-11

18.0%3PT%18.0%

13-20FT13-20

65.0%FT%65.0%

34Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists13

16Turnovers16

10Steals10

1Blocks1

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddy Hicks	G	19	5-14	0-0	4-6	6	1	3	0	14
Chris Mpaka	F	29	4-8	0-0	5-8	6	1	0	1	13
Jordan Mizell	G	35	4-9	0-0	2-2	5	4	3	0	10
Bubu Benjamin	G	37	2-10	1-6	1-2	5	2	1	0	6
Keitenn Bristow	F	31	3-7	0-1	0-0	5	2	1	0	6
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	28	2-6	1-4	1-2	2	3	0	0	6
Izzy Miles	G	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Nick Krass	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddy Hicks	G	19	5-14	0-0	4-6	6	1	3	0	14
Chris Mpaka	F	29	4-8	0-0	5-8	6	1	0	1	13
Jordan Mizell	G	35	4-9	0-0	2-2	5	4	3	0	10
Bubu Benjamin	G	37	2-10	1-6	1-2	5	2	1	0	6
Keitenn Bristow	F	31	3-7	0-1	0-0	5	2	1	0	6
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	28	2-6	1-4	1-2	2	3	0	0	6
Izzy Miles	G	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Nick Krass	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

80.9Offensive Efficiency80.9

80.9Defensive Efficiency80.9

0.0Net Efficiency0.0

38.6%Effective FG%38.6%

42.9%True Shooting %42.9%

22.7%Turnover Rate22.7%

35.1%Free Throw Rate35.1%

19.3%3-Point Rate19.3%

0.81Assist / Turnover0.81

Game Summary

Neither team finished level. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.