California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%California Baptist

66.3%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL142.4

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -197

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 68

Projected Total142.4

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 74

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricGrand Canyon

58.3MMH Power Index59.8

106.5Offensive Efficiency109.2

99.0Defensive Efficiency99.1

7.5Net Efficiency10.1

1.8Strength of Schedule2.0

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

68.2Tempo69.3

48.8%Effective FG%52.1%

17.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

37.0%Free Throw Rate41.0%

5.1Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–58.3), offensive efficiency (109.2–106.5), net efficiency (10.1–7.5), strength of schedule (2.0–1.8).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.0–99.1), recent form (11.0–9.7), offensive rebounding (37.0–31.2).

Final

California Baptist

64—66

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon by 2 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATGrand Canyon

23-53FG24-57

43.0%FG%42.0%

9-233PT6-17

39.0%3PT%35.0%

9-10FT12-19

90.0%FT%63.0%

25Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists8

16Turnovers17

9Steals9

5Blocks4

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kendal Coleman	Forward	32	9-13	4-7	2-2	7	0	1	1	24
Martel Williams	G	35	8-14	2-5	1-1	1	1	3	0	19
Tylen Riley	G	34	3-10	1-2	2-3	4	6	2	2	9
Javonte Johnson	Guard	35	2-7	2-6	2-2	3	1	1	0	8
Sam Silverstein	G	22	0-2	0-2	2-2	3	2	1	0	2
AJ Braun	Forward	19	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Adam Moussa	Guard	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Bradey Henige	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mouhamadou Dioum	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaKobe Coles	Forward	35	7-14	1-2	3-4	3	2	3	0	18
Ray Harrison	Guard	34	6-13	2-4	2-2	4	1	0	0	16
Duke Brennan	F	30	4-11	0-0	0-4	12	1	1	1	8
Collin Moore	Guard	25	3-5	1-3	1-2	4	1	2	1	8
Makaih Williams	G	30	2-5	1-3	2-2	1	2	1	0	7
Caleb Shaw	G	22	1-4	0-2	3-3	6	1	1	0	5
Lok Wur	Forward	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	2	3
Styles Phipps	G	8	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

90.3Offensive Efficiency93.1

93.1Defensive Efficiency90.3

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

51.9%Effective FG%47.4%

55.4%True Shooting %50.0%

23.3%Turnover Rate23.3%

18.9%Free Throw Rate33.3%

43.4%3-Point Rate29.8%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.