Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%Saint Mary's

75.8%Gonzaga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -313

Gonzaga

31-4

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 69

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreGonzaga 78

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricGonzaga

70.7MMH Power Index76.4

116.7Offensive Efficiency119.7

97.4Defensive Efficiency94.0

19.3Net Efficiency25.7

3.0Strength of Schedule3.0

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency18.2

66.3Tempo70.4

53.1%Effective FG%55.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate13.6%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

36.8%Free Throw Rate31.5%

12.8Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–70.7), offensive efficiency (119.7–116.7), defensive efficiency (94.0–97.4), net efficiency (25.7–19.3).

Saint Mary's COUNTERS WITHrecent form (18.6–18.2), offensive rebounding (37.4–35.0), free throw rate (36.8–31.5).

Final

Saint Mary's

74—67

Gonzaga

Saint Mary's by 7 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATGonzaga

27-61FG27-56

44.0%FG%48.0%

8-203PT4-14

40.0%3PT%29.0%

12-15FT9-12

80.0%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds26

16Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists12

11Turnovers7

3Steals5

1Blocks4

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikey Lewis	G	18	5-9	5-7	3-3	2	0	0	0	18
Mitchell Saxen	Center	33	7-13	0-1	2-2	9	3	1	0	16
Luke Barrett	Forward	40	6-11	2-4	0-0	8	0	0	0	14
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	38	3-7	1-4	2-2	4	6	1	0	9
Paulius Murauskas	F	17	3-8	0-1	1-4	2	0	0	0	7
Harry Wessels	C	29	2-7	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	1	6
Jordan Ross	G	25	1-6	0-3	2-2	2	1	1	0	4

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	27	7-11	0-0	5-5	5	2	0	0	19
Nolan Hickman	Guard	30	6-12	2-7	0-0	1	0	1	2	14
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	4-12	1-2	2-2	3	8	0	0	11
Khalif Battle	Guard	28	4-7	0-2	0-0	2	1	4	1	8
Braden Huff	F	11	3-6	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Michael Ajayi	F	24	2-4	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	1	6
Ben Gregg	Forward	18	1-4	0-2	0-2	4	1	0	0	2
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Dusty Stromer	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joe Few	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

118.6Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency118.6

11.2Net Efficiency-11.2

50.8%Effective FG%51.8%

54.3%True Shooting %54.3%

17.4%Turnover Rate11.3%

24.6%Free Throw Rate21.4%

32.8%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.