Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Colorado State

55.5%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNLV -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUNLV -125

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 76

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreUNLV 78

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricUNLV

55.4MMH Power Index52.8

117.1Offensive Efficiency111.0

109.9Defensive Efficiency109.6

7.2Net Efficiency1.4

0.4Strength of Schedule2.7

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

64.7Tempo71.4

58.6%Effective FG%53.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.2%Free Throw Rate41.6%

4.6Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–52.8), offensive efficiency (117.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.2–1.4), recent form (4.3–1.1).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.6–109.9), strength of schedule (2.7–0.4), ball security (17.2–18.3).

Final

Colorado State

61—53

UNLV

Colorado State by 8 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATUNLV

22-52FG21-50

42.0%FG%42.0%

5-193PT4-11

26.0%3PT%36.0%

12-14FT7-17

86.0%FT%41.0%

35Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists14

11Turnovers11

6Steals6

3Blocks2

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	38	5-14	0-2	4-6	14	5	1	0	14
Kyan Evans	G	27	3-8	2-6	6-6	4	5	1	0	14
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	25	4-6	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	10
Jalen Lake	Guard	31	3-9	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	1	7
Rashaan Mbemba	F	16	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	0	6
Ethan Morton	Guard	22	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Nikola Djapa	C	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Bowen Born	Guard	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Keshawn Williams	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyle Jorgensen	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jailen Bedford	G	33	7-16	2-4	1-1	4	4	1	0	17
Jeremiah Cherry	F	29	6-11	0-0	4-9	6	0	0	1	16
Jalen Hill	Forward	39	4-7	1-1	1-2	8	1	2	0	10
Julian Rishwain	Guard	34	2-8	1-4	0-3	5	3	2	0	5
Brooklyn Hicks	G	22	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Jaden Henley	G	32	0-3	0-0	1-2	3	4	1	0	1
Pape N'Diaye	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

95.5Offensive Efficiency82.9

82.9Defensive Efficiency95.5

12.5Net Efficiency-12.5

47.1%Effective FG%46.0%

52.0%True Shooting %45.6%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.9%Free Throw Rate34.0%

36.5%3-Point Rate22.0%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.