California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%California

69.2%Stanford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStanford -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEStanford -225

Stanford

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 74

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreStanford 79

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricStanford

56.5MMH Power Index59.2

111.8Offensive Efficiency111.6

104.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.0Net Efficiency4.5

2.8Strength of Schedule5.2

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.4

69.9Tempo68.1

52.6%Effective FG%51.9%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.2%

4.9Average Margin3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.8–111.6), defensive efficiency (104.8–107.1), net efficiency (7.0–4.5), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.9).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.2–56.5), strength of schedule (5.2–2.8), recent form (7.4–1.8).

Final

California

61—66

Stanford

Stanford by 5 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATStanford

19-55FG19-51

35.0%FG%37.0%

4-143PT7-19

29.0%3PT%37.0%

19-29FT21-27

66.0%FT%78.0%

42Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds6

4Assists11

13Turnovers12

8Steals8

3Blocks5

21Fouls25

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	37	6-16	1-5	6-10	6	1	5	1	19
Andrej Stojakovic	G	36	4-11	1-3	7-9	10	0	0	0	16
DeJuan Campbell	G	28	3-7	1-2	0-2	4	1	1	0	7
Rytis Petraitis	F	27	2-6	0-1	2-4	10	1	1	0	6
Mady Sissoko	Center	27	1-5	0-0	4-4	4	0	1	1	6
Lee Dort	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Christian Tucker	Guard	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Mahoney	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maxime Raynaud	Forward	34	5-16	2-5	8-10	8	1	1	3	20
Oziyah Sellers	G	36	3-13	1-4	7-7	3	1	1	0	14
Ryan Agarwal	G	34	3-5	2-3	3-4	8	4	1	1	11
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	16	4-8	0-2	2-2	0	1	0	0	10
Chisom Okpara	F	17	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Benny Gealer	G	27	1-4	1-4	1-2	6	2	2	0	4
Aidan Cammann	F	18	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	1	1	1	2
Donavin Young	F	18	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

87.4Offensive Efficiency94.6

94.6Defensive Efficiency87.4

-7.2Net Efficiency7.2

38.2%Effective FG%44.1%

44.3%True Shooting %51.7%

18.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

52.7%Free Throw Rate52.9%

25.5%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.31Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Stanford won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.