UTSA

5-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.4%UTSA

88.6%East Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Carolina -13.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Carolina -777

East Carolina

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUTSA 69

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 82

Team Comparison

UTSAMetricEast Carolina

30.5MMH Power Index44.3

99.0Offensive Efficiency102.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency110.5

-16.0Net Efficiency-8.5

-1.2Strength of Schedule2.6

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

70.2Tempo70.1

45.9%Effective FG%46.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.4%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

29.9%Free Throw Rate40.2%

-11.3Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.3–30.5), offensive efficiency (102.0–99.0), defensive efficiency (110.5–115.0), net efficiency (-8.5–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHball security (17.0–17.4).

Final

UTSA

89—96

East Carolina

East Carolina by 7 • 76.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UTSATEAM STATEast Carolina

31-66FG30-57

47.0%FG%53.0%

13-273PT9-16

48.0%3PT%56.0%

14-16FT27-34

88.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists13

14Turnovers12

9Steals13

4Blocks8

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Primo Spears	Guard	41	8-21	4-9	4-4	2	8	3	0	24
Marcus Millender	G	44	7-13	3-6	4-4	5	4	3	0	21
Damari Monsanto	Guard	41	5-9	4-7	0-0	5	0	0	2	14
Tai'Reon Joseph	G	16	4-6	2-4	1-2	0	0	1	0	11
Raekwon Horton	Forward	35	3-10	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	8
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	27	2-3	0-0	3-4	8	1	1	2	7
David Hermes	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Baboucarr Njie	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Felton	Guard	44	10-15	5-5	5-7	4	3	3	0	30
Jordan Riley	G	39	6-11	0-1	5-8	8	4	3	1	17
Cam Hayes	Guard	32	4-12	0-3	8-8	2	4	3	0	16
Trevion LaBeaux	G	32	3-3	1-1	2-2	3	1	2	3	9
Yann Farell	F	21	3-5	3-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
C.J. Walker	Forward	24	2-5	0-1	3-3	4	0	0	0	7
Jayshayne Woodard	G	27	2-6	0-2	2-4	5	1	2	4	6
Tybo Bailey	G	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Reid Cason	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.9Possessions76.9

115.7Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency115.7

-9.1Net Efficiency9.1

56.8%Effective FG%60.5%

60.5%True Shooting %65.6%

18.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

24.2%Free Throw Rate59.6%

40.9%3-Point Rate28.1%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 76.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.