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North Carolina

24-9
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
55.4%North Carolina
44.6%Florida State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -1.3
PROJECTED TOTAL158.0
MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -124
Florida State logo

Florida State

18-15
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 80
Projected Total158.0
Projected ScoreFlorida State 78

Team Comparison

65.2MMH Power Index58.7
115.5Offensive Efficiency111.9
103.8Defensive Efficiency108.5
11.7Net Efficiency3.4
7.6Strength of Schedule5.7
-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6
69.0Tempo71.8
54.6%Effective FG%52.4%
13.9%Turnover Rate15.2%
31.1%Offensive Rebound %30.3%
38.1%Free Throw Rate35.2%
8.1Average Margin2.4
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.4%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
10–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–58.7), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.9), defensive efficiency (103.8–108.5), net efficiency (11.7–3.4).
Florida State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.6–-1.8).
Final
North Carolina logo
North Carolina
96—85
Florida State logo
Florida State
North Carolina by 11 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATFlorida State
32-58FG27-50
55.0%FG%54.0%
10-263PT10-20
38.0%3PT%50.0%
22-31FT21-28
71.0%FT%75.0%
35Rebounds21
13Offensive Rebounds4
18Assists16
8Turnovers7
2Steals2
1Blocks3
18Fouls25

Player Box Score

North Carolina
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
RJ DavisGuard335-93-57-825010020
Seth TrimbleG256-102-53-420000017
Jae'Lyn WithersForward212-31-26-951000011
Elliot CadeauG274-112-60-027100010
Jalen WashingtonC183-31-13-431000010
Ven-Allen LubinF174-50-02-270000010
Drake PowellGuard243-60-21-42310007
Cade TysonG143-50-20-04000006
Ian JacksonG212-61-30-01100005
Florida State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Jamir WatkinsGuard327-123-69-1022020026
Jerry DengF206-84-60-020000016
Daquan DavisG242-81-34-42200009
Taylor Bol BowenF212-41-23-33210008
Alier MalukF222-20-03-43000007
Chandler JacksonG322-60-02-40110006
Justin ThomasG162-31-20-02400005
Malique EwinF112-30-00-22300004
AJ SwintonF101-20-10-12000002
Christian NituF51-20-00-01001002
Bostyn HoltGuard70-00-00-00200000

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0
143.3Offensive Efficiency126.9
126.9Defensive Efficiency143.3
16.4Net Efficiency-16.4
63.8%Effective FG%64.0%
66.0%True Shooting %67.1%
11.8%Turnover Rate10.6%
53.4%Free Throw Rate56.0%
44.8%3-Point Rate40.0%
2.25Assist / Turnover2.29
Game Summary
North Carolina won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.