Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%Bellarmine

49.1%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStetson -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -104

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 80

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreStetson 81

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricStetson

44.9MMH Power Index40

119.6Offensive Efficiency107.2

122.1Defensive Efficiency115.9

-2.5Net Efficiency-8.7

-2.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

66.9Tempo68.7

60.0%Effective FG%53.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

35.3%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-1.7Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–40.0), offensive efficiency (119.6–107.2), net efficiency (-2.5–-8.7), recent form (0.3–-2.9).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (115.9–122.1), strength of schedule (-1.0–-2.8), offensive rebounding (28.1–22.7).

Final

Bellarmine

67—69

Stetson

Stetson by 2 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATStetson

24-55FG24-49

44.0%FG%49.0%

11-273PT6-21

41.0%3PT%29.0%

8-10FT15-18

80.0%FT%83.0%

26Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists13

12Turnovers14

12Steals8

3Blocks2

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Billy Smith	G	39	5-15	5-11	0-0	3	5	3	0	15
Tyler Doyle	G	31	2-5	0-1	6-6	5	2	3	1	10
Myles Watkins	G	28	4-11	1-3	1-2	3	3	1	1	10
Landin Hacker	Guard	20	4-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Jack Karasinski	F	20	4-8	1-3	1-1	2	0	0	0	10
Curt Hopf	Forward	19	2-3	0-1	0-1	3	0	2	0	4
AJ Lux	Guard	21	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	2	2	0	3
Grant Whitaker	G	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	3
Dezmond McKinney	Guard	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	2

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamie Phillips Jr.	G	36	7-12	1-3	2-3	3	3	0	0	17
Mehki Ellison	G	26	3-8	2-5	6-7	3	3	1	0	14
Josh Massey	Forward	25	4-5	0-0	4-4	5	0	1	0	12
Blaize Sagna	G	35	4-8	1-3	2-2	4	2	3	0	11
Finley Sheridan	F	25	4-6	1-3	1-2	6	1	0	1	10
Jordan Wood	Forward	31	2-6	1-4	0-0	4	4	0	1	5
Tristan Gross	G	15	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	0	3	0	0
Treyton Thompson	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

102.8Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency102.8

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

53.6%Effective FG%55.1%

56.1%True Shooting %59.9%

18.3%Turnover Rate21.7%

18.2%Free Throw Rate36.7%

49.1%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Stetson won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.