Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Northwestern State

55.5%SE Louisiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSE Louisiana -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL131.1

MODEL MONEYLINESE Louisiana -125

SE Louisiana

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 64

Projected Total131.1

Projected ScoreSE Louisiana 67

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricSE Louisiana

41.3MMH Power Index38.7

104.0Offensive Efficiency98.4

109.0Defensive Efficiency106.4

-5.0Net Efficiency-8.0

-1.6Strength of Schedule0.2

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

63.6Tempo63.9

49.5%Effective FG%47.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.5%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate38.9%

-3.2Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.7), offensive efficiency (104.0–98.4), net efficiency (-5.0–-8.0), recent form (-4.9–-11.9).

SE Louisiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.4–109.0), strength of schedule (0.2–-1.6), offensive rebounding (29.4–27.1).

Final

Northwestern State

72—69

SE Louisiana

Northwestern State by 3 • 63.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATSE Louisiana

24-47FG22-52

51.0%FG%42.0%

7-163PT4-20

44.0%3PT%20.0%

17-19FT21-25

89.0%FT%84.0%

26Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists12

12Turnovers9

6Steals9

1Blocks4

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	33	7-12	5-8	5-5	2	0	1	0	24
Love Bettis	G	29	6-10	0-2	6-6	1	4	1	0	18
Justin Redmond	G	16	3-5	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Willie Williams	F	33	3-5	0-0	1-3	10	1	0	0	7
Addison Patterson	F	24	2-4	0-1	3-3	4	2	2	0	7
Jerald Colonel	F	20	2-4	0-0	2-2	3	2	1	1	6
Jon Sanders II	G	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Landyn Jumawan	G	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
JT Warren	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Chris Mubiru	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

SE Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Hines Jr.	Guard	36	8-14	1-1	5-8	6	0	2	1	22
Brody Rowbury	F	35	6-9	1-2	7-7	6	2	1	1	20
Jeremy Elyzee	F	33	4-10	1-6	7-8	5	1	4	1	16
Jaiden Lawrence	G	26	2-8	1-6	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Jakevion Buckley	G	28	1-6	0-2	2-2	3	5	0	1	4
Carlos Paez	Guard	20	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	2
Kyle Edison	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Kam Burton	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Asher Boney	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.0Possessions63.0

114.3Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency114.3

4.8Net Efficiency-4.8

58.5%Effective FG%46.2%

64.3%True Shooting %54.0%

19.0%Turnover Rate14.3%

40.4%Free Throw Rate48.1%

34.0%3-Point Rate38.5%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.