Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Baylor

69.0%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -223

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 73

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreCincinnati 78

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricCincinnati

58.9MMH Power Index61.5

116.7Offensive Efficiency105.3

109.5Defensive Efficiency97.3

7.2Net Efficiency8.0

4.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

69.7Tempo69.4

54.4%Effective FG%50.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.1Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–58.9), defensive efficiency (97.3–109.5), net efficiency (8.0–7.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–105.3), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.6), ball security (16.4–17.0).

Final

Baylor

67—69

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 2 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATCincinnati

26-55FG25-54

47.0%FG%46.0%

11-253PT10-23

44.0%3PT%43.0%

4-5FT9-14

80.0%FT%64.0%

31Rebounds29

9Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists15

12Turnovers7

3Steals6

1Blocks2

13Fouls10

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	36	6-13	5-8	1-2	5	3	2	0	18
Norchad Omier	Forward	32	7-12	0-1	1-1	10	3	0	1	15
Langston Love	G	35	3-10	1-6	2-2	3	3	0	0	9
Jalen Celestine	G	28	3-5	2-4	0-0	7	1	0	0	8
Jeremy Roach	Guard	26	4-7	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	8
Robert Wright III	G	18	2-5	2-3	0-0	1	4	1	0	6
Jayden Nunn	Guard	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Jason Asemota	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Marino Dubravcic	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jizzle James	G	34	6-20	3-8	3-4	1	1	1	0	18
Dillon Mitchell	F	34	6-9	1-3	0-1	9	3	1	1	13
Josh Reed	F	33	4-5	1-1	2-3	4	2	1	0	11
Day Day Thomas	G	29	3-8	2-3	2-2	2	4	3	1	10
Simas Lukosius	Guard	17	2-5	2-5	1-2	1	2	0	0	7
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	15	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	27	1-1	0-0	1-2	7	2	0	0	3
Tyler Betsey	F	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Arrinten Page	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

111.5Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency111.5

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

57.3%Effective FG%55.6%

58.4%True Shooting %56.9%

19.9%Turnover Rate11.7%

9.1%Free Throw Rate25.9%

45.5%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.42Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.