Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.4%Saint Louis

26.6%Davidson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -276

Davidson

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 79

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreDavidson 71

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricDavidson

66.7MMH Power Index53

120.8Offensive Efficiency109.9

97.6Defensive Efficiency103.7

23.2Net Efficiency6.2

0.3Strength of Schedule0.1

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.6

72.2Tempo65.5

59.9%Effective FG%53.7%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

33.9%Free Throw Rate32.9%

16.8Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–53.0), offensive efficiency (120.8–109.9), defensive efficiency (97.6–103.7), net efficiency (23.2–6.2).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–17.1).

Final

Saint Louis

57—56

Davidson

Saint Louis by 1 • 60.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATDavidson

23-55FG22-58

42.0%FG%38.0%

9-273PT8-28

33.0%3PT%29.0%

2-5FT4-6

40.0%FT%67.0%

38Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists13

11Turnovers7

2Steals7

2Blocks5

8Fouls10

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	37	8-14	6-10	1-2	5	3	0	0	23
Robbie Avila	C	35	9-17	1-5	0-0	7	2	1	0	19
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	37	3-13	2-10	0-0	4	0	1	0	8
Amari McCottry	G	24	3-7	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	1	6
Kalu Anya	F	18	0-0	0-0	1-3	3	1	0	0	1
Kobe Johnson	Guard	34	0-3	0-1	0-0	6	4	0	1	0
Dylan Warlick	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Max Pikaar	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Kochera	Guard	35	9-16	4-6	0-0	6	3	1	0	22
Reed Bailey	F	37	6-14	0-1	2-4	2	5	1	1	14
Bobby Durkin	F	35	3-11	2-8	0-0	8	4	2	0	8
Manie Joses	F	21	2-4	1-2	2-2	3	0	2	1	7
Hunter Adam	G	23	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	2	3
Zach Laput	Guard	17	1-5	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Mike Loughnane	G	16	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Roberts Blums	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Joe Hurlburt	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.2Possessions60.2

94.7Offensive Efficiency93.0

93.0Defensive Efficiency94.7

1.7Net Efficiency-1.7

50.0%Effective FG%44.8%

49.7%True Shooting %46.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate11.5%

9.1%Free Throw Rate10.3%

49.1%3-Point Rate48.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 60.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.