Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%Northwestern

49.1%Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMinnesota -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -104

Minnesota

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 70

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreMinnesota 71

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricMinnesota

55.4MMH Power Index50.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency107.7

1.8Net Efficiency1.4

5.6Strength of Schedule3.2

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

65.6Tempo63.6

51.9%Effective FG%54.1%

13.0%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

1.2Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–50.5), offensive efficiency (111.6–109.1), net efficiency (1.8–1.4), strength of schedule (5.6–3.2).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.7–109.8), shooting efficiency (54.1–51.9), free throw rate (36.9–34.8).

Final

Northwestern

75—63

Minnesota

Northwestern by 12 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATMinnesota

28-57FG24-57

49.0%FG%42.0%

9-183PT5-19

50.0%3PT%26.0%

10-16FT10-14

63.0%FT%71.0%

33Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds12

21Assists15

8Turnovers13

6Steals3

2Blocks6

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	34	11-20	3-5	4-5	5	1	1	0	29
Ty Berry	Guard	31	3-7	2-4	1-1	7	3	0	0	9
Justin Mullins	G	37	4-6	0-2	0-2	6	1	1	0	8
K.J. Windham	G	24	2-5	1-3	3-4	2	7	3	0	8
Luke Hunger	F	17	4-9	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	8
Jordan Clayton	G	21	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	3	1	0	6
Matthew Nicholson	Center	20	1-2	0-0	2-4	3	3	0	0	4
Angelo Ciaravino	G	9	1-4	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	40	9-20	3-7	5-5	9	1	0	1	26
Frank Mitchell	F	15	4-5	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	2	10
Femi Odukale	Guard	40	2-7	0-1	3-5	7	5	0	3	7
Lu'Cye Patterson	Guard	21	3-10	1-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	7
Parker Fox	Forward	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Isaac Asuma	G	29	2-4	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	0	4
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	31	0-6	0-4	0-0	1	4	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

115.9Offensive Efficiency97.4

97.4Defensive Efficiency115.9

18.5Net Efficiency-18.5

57.0%Effective FG%46.5%

58.0%True Shooting %49.5%

12.4%Turnover Rate20.1%

28.1%Free Throw Rate24.6%

31.6%3-Point Rate33.3%

2.63Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.