Buffalo logo

Buffalo

17-15
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
53.1%Buffalo
46.9%Central Michigan
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADBuffalo -0.5
PROJECTED TOTAL154.9
MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -113
Central Michigan logo

Central Michigan

10-21
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreBuffalo 78
Projected Total154.9
Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 77

Team Comparison

49.7MMH Power Index44
114.9Offensive Efficiency105.9
112.2Defensive Efficiency111.0
2.7Net Efficiency-5.1
0.0Strength of Schedule-0.5
-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3
67.9Tempo69.3
56.1%Effective FG%52.6%
16.1%Turnover Rate18.3%
27.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%
40.4%Free Throw Rate32.9%
1.8Average Margin-3.5
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–44.0), offensive efficiency (114.9–105.9), net efficiency (2.7–-5.1), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.5).
Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.0–112.2), recent form (1.3–-5.9), offensive rebounding (29.6–27.6).
Final
Buffalo logo
Buffalo
69—73
Central Michigan logo
Central Michigan
Central Michigan by 4 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATCentral Michigan
26-65FG28-59
40.0%FG%47.0%
9-243PT6-14
38.0%3PT%43.0%
8-10FT11-13
80.0%FT%85.0%
38Rebounds35
15Offensive Rebounds10
10Assists11
15Turnovers13
8Steals7
3Blocks3
15Fouls10

Player Box Score

Buffalo
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Bryson WilsonG246-132-58-862210022
Ryan SabolG364-113-70-050000011
Anquan Boldin JrG254-92-30-030100010
Tyson DunnG303-71-30-03530007
Noah BatchelorG332-101-50-17210005
Tim ObohC232-50-10-14012004
Ben MichaelsF132-30-00-01000004
Kavon BradfordG132-60-00-06100004
Frederiks MeinartsCenter31-10-00-00000002
Central Michigan
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Jakobi HeadyG397-131-33-3111100018
Anthony PritchardGuard385-151-27-856010018
Ugnius JaruseviciusF286-122-40-061020014
Kyler VanderjagtG315-91-21-222200012
Cayden VaskoG383-61-20-05120007
Bryan NdjongaF211-20-10-03010002
Quentin HeadyF51-20-00-01010002

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0
100.0Offensive Efficiency105.8
105.8Defensive Efficiency100.0
-5.8Net Efficiency5.8
46.9%Effective FG%52.5%
49.5%True Shooting %56.0%
21.5%Turnover Rate19.1%
15.4%Free Throw Rate22.0%
36.9%3-Point Rate23.7%
0.67Assist / Turnover0.85
Game Summary
Central Michigan won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.