Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Indiana State

82.3%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -465

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 74

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreMurray State 85

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricMurray State

44.4MMH Power Index53.6

104.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency111.0

-1.3Net Efficiency4.0

0.1Strength of Schedule3.5

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

70.3Tempo72.3

53.6%Effective FG%54.0%

19.5%Turnover Rate16.3%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

28.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-0.9Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–104.7), net efficiency (4.0–-1.3), strength of schedule (3.5–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–111.0), recent form (-5.2–-9.5).

Final

Indiana State

75—85

Murray State

Murray State by 10 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATMurray State

26-58FG24-54

45.0%FG%44.0%

7-223PT7-18

32.0%3PT%39.0%

16-19FT30-41

84.0%FT%73.0%

27Rebounds43

5Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists7

8Turnovers8

7Steals5

3Blocks9

24Fouls15

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aaron Gray	Forward	31	5-5	0-0	6-7	7	1	1	0	16
K'mani Doughty	Guard	21	6-7	2-3	1-1	0	1	4	1	15
Jaden Daughtry	F	21	5-8	1-2	4-6	5	0	1	1	15
Samage Teel	Guard	39	5-18	2-6	1-1	4	5	0	0	13
Markus Harding	C	19	3-4	1-2	2-2	2	3	0	1	9
Jayan Walker	G	19	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Bruno Alocen	G	15	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Camp Wagner	G	33	0-10	0-6	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Merritt Alderink	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josiah LeGree	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terence Harcum	Guard	35	8-15	4-7	5-5	1	0	1	0	25
JaCobi Wood	Guard	35	2-7	2-6	8-8	2	3	1	0	14
Nick Ellington	F	28	2-7	0-0	8-12	10	1	0	3	12
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	12	5-7	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	2	11
AJ Ferguson	Guard	40	4-10	0-2	2-4	9	1	1	2	10
Alden Applewhite	F	13	2-4	1-2	2-4	4	0	0	0	7
Justin Morgan	Guard	18	0-0	0-0	4-4	1	1	1	0	4
Kylen Milton	Guard	19	1-4	0-1	0-2	2	1	0	1	2
Patrick Chew	Guard	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

109.0Offensive Efficiency123.5

123.5Defensive Efficiency109.0

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

50.9%Effective FG%50.9%

55.9%True Shooting %57.8%

11.4%Turnover Rate11.9%

32.8%Free Throw Rate75.9%

37.9%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.63Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Murray State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.