Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Illinois State

63.2%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL143.2

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -172

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 70

Projected Total143.2

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 73

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricSouthern Illinois

54.3MMH Power Index54.6

110.6Offensive Efficiency103.4

101.4Defensive Efficiency98.5

9.2Net Efficiency4.9

1.0Strength of Schedule1.6

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

67.5Tempo70.6

54.3%Effective FG%49.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

32.0%Free Throw Rate32.3%

6.2Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–54.3), defensive efficiency (98.5–101.4), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (7.7–-4.4).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–103.4), net efficiency (9.2–4.9), shooting efficiency (54.3–49.5).

Final

Illinois State

79—88

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 9 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

29-64FG27-54

45.0%FG%50.0%

10-273PT13-24

37.0%3PT%54.0%

11-15FT21-30

73.0%FT%70.0%

33Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists13

10Turnovers8

5Steals3

—Blocks3

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dalton Banks	Guard	38	8-15	1-3	1-2	2	3	3	18
Johnny Kinziger	G	37	4-11	1-5	4-4	6	1	0	13
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	18	4-7	4-6	0-0	1	0	0	12
Jack Daugherty	F	26	4-8	2-4	1-1	4	1	0	11
Chase Walker	F	30	3-8	0-1	4-7	7	7	2	10
Jordan Davis	Guard	22	3-8	0-4	0-0	3	0	0	6
Landon Wolf	G	9	2-3	1-2	1-1	0	0	0	6
Ty Pence	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	3
Caden Boser	Forward	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0
Cameron Barnes	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	34	7-12	4-7	6-6	4	5	1	0	24
Ali Dibba	G	37	8-16	0-2	6-9	6	4	0	0	22
Drew Steffe	G	33	6-9	5-5	1-3	2	2	0	1	18
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	32	4-8	4-8	5-8	7	1	0	0	17
Jorge Moreno	F	8	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	3
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	29	0-6	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	1	2
Rolyns Aligbe	F	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Davion Sykes	G	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

113.3Offensive Efficiency126.3

126.3Defensive Efficiency113.3

-12.9Net Efficiency12.9

53.1%Effective FG%62.0%

55.5%True Shooting %64.5%

14.3%Turnover Rate11.6%

23.4%Free Throw Rate55.6%

42.2%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.