Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Troy

49.6%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -102

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 75

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreTexas State 75

Team Comparison

TroyMetricTexas State

54.1MMH Power Index49.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency107.7

103.9Defensive Efficiency103.4

8.7Net Efficiency4.3

-2.2Strength of Schedule-4.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.4Tempo68.6

52.1%Effective FG%51.3%

17.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

36.8%Free Throw Rate36.0%

6.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–107.7), net efficiency (8.7–4.3), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–103.9), recent form (9.1–2.0).

Final

Troy

74—69

Texas State

Troy by 5 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATTexas State

22-58FG20-49

38.0%FG%41.0%

5-253PT3-11

20.0%3PT%27.0%

25-34FT26-33

74.0%FT%79.0%

41Rebounds33

18Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists13

13Turnovers13

11Steals8

5Blocks6

22Fouls24

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tayton Conerway	G	32	8-19	1-6	7-8	5	3	5	1	24
Myles Rigsby	G	23	2-4	0-2	11-13	5	2	1	0	15
Thomas Dowd	F	33	3-12	1-8	1-2	10	0	0	0	8
Victor Valdes	F	21	2-4	1-2	3-3	3	3	1	0	8
Jackson Fields	F	14	3-7	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	8
Randarius Jones	C	22	3-5	0-0	0-2	8	1	0	3	6
Theo Seng	F	10	1-3	0-1	2-4	1	0	0	0	4
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	18	0-3	0-2	1-2	2	1	2	0	1
Cooper Campbell	G	19	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	2	0	0
Kerrington Kiel	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jerrell Bellamy	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylan Pope	Forward	30	8-12	1-1	8-8	4	0	2	1	25
Mark Drone	G	29	2-12	0-2	5-6	2	3	2	0	9
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	33	2-5	0-1	4-4	7	3	0	2	8
Coleton Benson	G	24	2-4	1-3	2-3	2	3	1	0	7
Joshua O'Garro	G	26	1-4	0-1	4-4	4	0	0	1	6
Kaden Gumbs	G	9	1-3	1-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	5
Christian Turner	Forward	18	1-2	0-0	0-2	3	0	1	2	2
Austin Green	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Dylan Dawson	Guard	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Nate Deer	F	5	1-3	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Drue Drinnon	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	2	1	0	1
Bessanty Saragba	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

108.8Offensive Efficiency101.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency108.8

7.4Net Efficiency-7.4

42.2%Effective FG%43.9%

49.9%True Shooting %53.3%

18.8%Turnover Rate19.5%

58.6%Free Throw Rate67.3%

43.1%3-Point Rate22.4%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Troy won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.