Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

95.7%Colorado State

4.3%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -19.6

PROJECTED TOTAL144.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -2226

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 82

Projected Total144.9

Projected ScoreAir Force 63

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricAir Force

55.4MMH Power Index23

117.1Offensive Efficiency91.3

109.9Defensive Efficiency118.5

7.2Net Efficiency-27.2

0.4Strength of Schedule6.2

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

64.7Tempo67.4

58.6%Effective FG%49.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate21.9%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate35.9%

4.6Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–23.0), offensive efficiency (117.1–91.3), defensive efficiency (109.9–118.5), net efficiency (7.2–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–0.4).

Final

Colorado State

77—55

Air Force

Colorado State by 22 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATAir Force

28-55FG19-45

51.0%FG%42.0%

8-203PT4-17

40.0%3PT%24.0%

13-18FT13-17

72.0%FT%76.0%

34Rebounds24

10Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists11

14Turnovers19

10Steals6

5Blocks1

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyan Evans	G	32	7-11	2-6	4-4	2	2	1	0	20
Jalen Lake	Guard	35	6-10	3-6	0-0	3	4	1	0	15
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	20	4-5	0-0	5-6	4	1	0	0	13
Nique Clifford	Guard	36	5-15	1-3	0-2	9	5	2	2	11
Keshawn Williams	G	15	2-3	0-0	1-1	0	0	1	0	5
Kyle Jorgensen	F	12	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	5
Rashaan Mbemba	F	14	1-2	0-0	2-3	5	0	1	1	4
Bowen Born	Guard	8	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Ethan Morton	Guard	18	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	1	1
Nikola Djapa	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Taylor	Guard	35	5-11	1-3	2-4	3	2	1	0	13
Caleb Walker	F	23	5-11	1-1	0-0	7	0	0	0	11
Luke Kearney	F	28	2-5	1-3	4-4	3	3	3	0	9
Will Cooper	F	27	3-6	1-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	9
Wesley Celichowski	C	12	3-4	0-1	0-1	1	1	0	0	6
Byron Brown	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	4
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	30	0-3	0-3	2-2	3	3	0	0	2
Chase Beasley	Guard	27	0-2	0-1	1-2	3	2	1	1	1
Beau Becker	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Duskin	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Eli Robinson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Yoda Oke	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

115.1Offensive Efficiency82.2

82.2Defensive Efficiency115.1

32.9Net Efficiency-32.9

58.2%Effective FG%46.7%

60.6%True Shooting %51.8%

20.7%Turnover Rate28.8%

32.7%Free Throw Rate37.8%

36.4%3-Point Rate37.8%

1.07Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.