New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%New Mexico

52.7%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.3

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -111

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 75

Projected Total152.3

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 77

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricSan Diego State

63.7MMH Power Index60.1

114.8Offensive Efficiency110.3

100.2Defensive Efficiency99.3

14.6Net Efficiency11.0

2.0Strength of Schedule3.8

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

70.7Tempo70.8

53.7%Effective FG%53.2%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

10.3Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (114.8–110.3), net efficiency (14.6–11.0), recent form (8.3–0.4).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–100.2), strength of schedule (3.8–2.0), offensive rebounding (30.8–30.5).

Final

New Mexico

65—73

San Diego State

San Diego State by 8 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATSan Diego State

22-64FG25-52

34.0%FG%48.0%

9-283PT9-21

32.0%3PT%43.0%

12-16FT14-22

75.0%FT%64.0%

39Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists16

13Turnovers15

10Steals10

3Blocks8

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	38	9-20	2-4	6-6	0	7	0	1	26
Jovan Milicevic	F	25	6-9	4-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	16
Filip Borovicanin	F	23	2-6	1-3	4-5	6	1	1	0	9
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	37	2-7	0-0	2-5	16	0	2	0	6
CJ Noland	Guard	26	1-5	1-4	0-0	5	1	1	0	3
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	15	1-8	1-6	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Tru Washington	G	32	1-9	0-5	0-0	2	1	4	2	2
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kayde Dotson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	34	5-13	3-6	4-6	7	6	0	0	17
Miles Byrd	G	31	3-9	2-6	5-5	9	3	3	1	13
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	32	5-10	1-3	1-1	3	2	0	3	12
Miles Heide	F	25	5-7	0-0	0-2	7	2	1	1	10
Pharaoh Compton	F	19	3-5	0-0	2-4	3	0	2	2	8
BJ Davis	G	27	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	2	2	0	6
Taj DeGourville	G	18	1-2	1-2	1-2	2	1	1	1	4
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	13	1-4	0-2	1-2	0	0	1	0	3
Kimo Ferrari	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

91.4Offensive Efficiency102.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency91.4

-11.3Net Efficiency11.3

41.4%Effective FG%56.7%

45.4%True Shooting %58.4%

18.4%Turnover Rate21.0%

25.0%Free Throw Rate42.3%

43.8%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.