Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Mercer

70.6%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -240

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 74

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 81

Team Comparison

MercerMetricEast Tennessee State

54.1MMH Power Index57.4

116.6Offensive Efficiency115.1

106.5Defensive Efficiency102.8

10.1Net Efficiency12.3

-4.4Strength of Schedule-1.6

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

70.9Tempo67.4

53.8%Effective FG%55.4%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

38.9%Free Throw Rate35.0%

7.2Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.1), defensive efficiency (102.8–106.5), net efficiency (12.3–10.1), strength of schedule (-1.6–-4.4).

Mercer COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.6–115.1), ball security (14.7–15.1), offensive rebounding (33.6–28.8).

Final

Mercer

58—59

East Tennessee State

East Tennessee State by 1 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

22-57FG22-60

39.0%FG%37.0%

9-243PT8-26

38.0%3PT%31.0%

5-5FT7-13

100.0%FT%54.0%

36Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists13

15Turnovers12

10Steals14

—Blocks5

14Fouls7

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tyler Johnson	Guard	37	7-17	5-11	0-0	7	2	3	19
Ahmad Robinson	G	37	6-14	1-3	2-2	5	5	2	15
Alex Holt	Forward	28	2-4	0-0	2-2	9	1	1	6
Cam Bryant	Forward	21	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	0	2	5
Marcus Overstreet	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	4
Brady Shoulders	G	28	1-6	1-3	0-0	4	1	1	3
Jah Quinones	Guard	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	3
Angel Montas Jr.	G	7	1-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	3
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quimari Peterson	G	39	5-18	3-10	2-3	5	2	4	0	15
Maki Johnson	G	24	3-10	3-8	2-2	5	2	1	0	11
Karon Boyd	F	33	4-6	0-0	1-1	7	2	1	2	9
Jaden Seymour	Forward	32	4-13	0-3	1-2	7	0	2	1	9
Allen Strothers	G	27	3-7	1-2	0-2	3	5	4	0	7
Gabe Sisk	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
DJ Hughes	Forward	27	1-2	0-0	0-1	8	1	2	2	2
Roosevelt Wheeler	Center	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Davion Bradford	C	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

84.3Offensive Efficiency85.8

85.8Defensive Efficiency84.3

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

46.5%Effective FG%43.3%

48.8%True Shooting %44.6%

21.6%Turnover Rate17.6%

8.8%Free Throw Rate21.7%

42.1%3-Point Rate43.3%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.