Kansas State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.5%Kansas State

83.5%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL164.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -506

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKansas State 77

Projected Total164.7

Projected ScoreUCF 88

Team Comparison

Kansas StateMetricUCF

47.1MMH Power Index57.1

107.8Offensive Efficiency113.3

110.9Defensive Efficiency110.0

-3.1Net Efficiency3.3

5.5Strength of Schedule6.6

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

73.8Tempo71.2

53.5%Effective FG%53.0%

17.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

27.4%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-2.3Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.3–107.8), defensive efficiency (110.0–110.9), net efficiency (3.3–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–53.0).

Final

Kansas State

76—80

UCF

UCF by 4 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Kansas StateTEAM STATUCF

27-65FG27-60

42.0%FG%45.0%

7-223PT7-29

32.0%3PT%24.0%

15-21FT19-25

71.0%FT%76.0%

35Rebounds41

16Offensive Rebounds16

14Assists14

13Turnovers15

6Steals8

3Blocks8

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Jones	Guard	33	6-17	3-7	7-8	4	0	2	0	22
C.J. Jones	G	21	4-6	2-3	2-3	2	1	0	0	12
Brendan Hausen	G	24	4-10	2-6	1-1	3	1	1	0	11
Dug McDaniel	G	35	4-14	0-4	2-2	3	9	1	0	10
David N'Guessan	Guard	28	4-8	0-0	0-2	4	2	0	0	8
Ugonna Onyenso	C	25	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	3	4
Macaleab Rich	G	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	11	1-1	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	3
David Castillo	G	9	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	1	1	0	2

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	37	7-12	2-5	10-12	5	3	0	0	26
Darius Johnson	Guard	35	8-16	4-10	3-4	3	4	1	0	23
Moustapha Thiam	C	31	4-9	1-5	2-2	10	0	1	8	11
Benny Williams	Forward	13	3-5	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Dior Johnson	G	12	2-2	0-0	1-1	3	1	1	0	5
Mikey Williams	G	24	1-7	0-3	2-4	7	2	2	0	4
Tyler Hendricks	G	13	2-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	3	0	4
Dallan Coleman	Guard	25	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Nils Machowski	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

106.3Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency106.3

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

46.9%Effective FG%50.8%

50.7%True Shooting %55.7%

18.1%Turnover Rate21.2%

32.3%Free Throw Rate41.7%

33.8%3-Point Rate48.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

UCF won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.