NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.2%NC State

40.8%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -145

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 79

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreSyracuse 78

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricSyracuse

60.1MMH Power Index52.2

118.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

108.6Defensive Efficiency106.6

9.8Net Efficiency2.6

6.4Strength of Schedule5.6

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

70.2Tempo69.0

55.1%Effective FG%52.9%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

35.7%Free Throw Rate36.2%

6.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.2), offensive efficiency (118.4–109.2), net efficiency (9.8–2.6), strength of schedule (6.4–5.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–108.6), offensive rebounding (29.0–28.2), free throw rate (36.2–35.7).

Final

NC State

60—74

Syracuse

Syracuse by 14 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATSyracuse

22-64FG28-48

34.0%FG%58.0%

8-273PT3-8

30.0%3PT%38.0%

8-10FT15-24

80.0%FT%63.0%

30Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists10

8Turnovers10

4Steals6

2Blocks1

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dontrez Styles	Guard	27	6-14	4-10	1-1	2	1	1	1	17
Michael O'Connell	Guard	26	3-7	2-4	1-2	2	1	1	0	9
Marcus Hill	G	19	3-9	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	8
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	18	3-7	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	6
Breon Pass	Guard	17	1-7	0-5	4-4	2	2	0	0	6
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	6	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	22	2-4	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	1	4
Trey Parker	G	14	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	21	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Jayden Taylor	Guard	23	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Ismael Diouf	F	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bryce Heard	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
J.J. Starling	G	33	6-12	1-3	4-7	4	4	1	0	17
Jyare Davis	Forward	27	5-7	1-1	4-7	7	2	0	0	15
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	34	5-7	0-0	4-7	15	2	0	0	14
Jaquan Carlos	Guard	35	4-5	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Chris Bell	F	24	3-6	0-2	1-1	3	0	0	0	7
Lucas Taylor	Guard	17	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	11	1-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Naheem McLeod	Center	6	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	4
Petar Majstorovic	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

92.2Offensive Efficiency113.7

113.7Defensive Efficiency92.2

-21.5Net Efficiency21.5

40.6%Effective FG%61.5%

43.6%True Shooting %62.3%

12.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

15.6%Free Throw Rate50.0%

42.2%3-Point Rate16.7%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Syracuse won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.