Navy

26-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%Navy

39.0%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNavy -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINENavy -156

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNavy 72

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreAmerican University 70

Team Comparison

NavyMetricAmerican University

56.8MMH Power Index48.2

113.2Offensive Efficiency110.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency105.8

15.6Net Efficiency4.8

-8.1Strength of Schedule-4.3

16.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

65.9Tempo67.5

53.7%Effective FG%52.6%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.7%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

40.9%Free Throw Rate30.1%

10.3Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Navy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNavy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–110.6), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.8), net efficiency (15.6–4.8).

American University COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.3–-8.1), ball security (15.7–17.1).

Final

Navy

68—60

American University

Navy by 8 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NavyTEAM STATAmerican University

21-45FG21-56

47.0%FG%38.0%

6-133PT7-31

46.0%3PT%23.0%

20-30FT11-17

67.0%FT%65.0%

40Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists10

14Turnovers9

6Steals6

4Blocks—

16Fouls25

Player Box Score

Navy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Pennick	G	36	6-10	6-8	4-6	5	2	0	1	22
Mike Woods	F	14	4-4	0-0	4-4	2	0	1	0	12
Austin Benigni	G	36	2-11	0-1	7-9	3	2	0	0	11
Aidan Kehoe	C	31	5-5	0-0	0-1	5	2	1	3	10
Jinwoo Kim	G	31	3-11	0-4	1-4	7	2	1	0	7
Donovan Draper	F	35	1-4	0-0	4-6	16	0	1	0	6
Carnegie Johnson	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	4	2	0	0
Cam Cole	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Lysander Rehnstrom	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	22	6-11	1-5	4-6	3	1	0	17
Greg Jones	F	27	3-4	2-3	2-4	4	2	0	10
Colin Smalls	Guard	22	3-7	2-4	1-1	2	2	0	9
Lincoln Ball	Guard	34	3-5	0-0	0-1	7	1	0	6
Geoff Sprouse	G	18	2-9	2-8	0-0	2	1	0	6
Wyatt Nausadis	G	14	1-6	0-4	4-4	2	2	2	6
Elijah Stephens	Guard	30	2-11	0-5	0-0	1	1	1	4
Matt Mayock	F	17	1-3	0-2	0-1	1	0	2	2
Eric Michaels	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

106.8Offensive Efficiency94.2

94.2Defensive Efficiency106.8

12.6Net Efficiency-12.6

53.3%Effective FG%43.8%

57.4%True Shooting %46.8%

22.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

66.7%Free Throw Rate30.4%

28.9%3-Point Rate55.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Navy won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.