Stetson

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Stetson

71.3%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -248

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStetson 72

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreJacksonville 80

Team Comparison

StetsonMetricJacksonville

40MMH Power Index43.6

107.2Offensive Efficiency109.8

115.9Defensive Efficiency110.3

-8.7Net Efficiency-0.5

-1.0Strength of Schedule-4.8

-2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

68.7Tempo66.6

53.8%Effective FG%51.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

33.6%Free Throw Rate33.9%

-6.0Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–40.0), offensive efficiency (109.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (110.3–115.9), net efficiency (-0.5–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-4.8), recent form (-2.9–-3.2), shooting efficiency (53.8–51.7).

Final

Stetson

72—79

Jacksonville

Jacksonville by 7 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StetsonTEAM STATJacksonville

27-56FG28-63

48.0%FG%44.0%

4-193PT7-22

21.0%3PT%32.0%

14-20FT16-23

70.0%FT%70.0%

26Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists19

13Turnovers12

7Steals7

4Blocks3

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mehki Ellison	G	39	8-14	2-7	2-2	6	1	3	0	20
Jamie Phillips Jr.	G	38	6-16	2-7	6-6	6	2	2	0	20
Josh Massey	Forward	17	4-4	0-0	2-2	1	3	0	0	10
Treyton Thompson	Forward	23	3-6	0-1	2-2	5	1	0	1	8
Finley Sheridan	F	20	4-6	0-1	0-2	5	1	1	0	8
Daniel Macgregor	G	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Blaize Sagna	G	14	1-3	0-0	0-4	0	0	0	0	2
Jordan Wood	Forward	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	3	0
Tristan Gross	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Stefano Alesso	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kendall Munson	Forward	34	6-10	0-0	5-11	8	0	0	1	17
Chris Arias	G	22	5-10	4-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	14
Jakari Spence	Guard	34	2-6	0-0	7-8	7	4	0	0	11
Zach Bell	G	27	4-7	0-2	2-2	6	7	2	0	10
Robert McCray V	G	28	3-7	1-2	2-2	3	8	3	0	9
Donovan Rivers	F	20	4-7	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	8
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	16	2-8	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Tito Deng	F	11	2-6	1-4	0-0	6	0	2	1	5
Kent Jackson	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency99.7

-9.7Net Efficiency9.7

51.8%Effective FG%50.0%

55.0%True Shooting %53.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.9%

35.7%Free Throw Rate36.5%

33.9%3-Point Rate34.9%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.