Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.4%Belmont

33.6%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -198

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 80

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreMissouri State 76

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricMissouri State

61.8MMH Power Index51.1

118.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency108.4

14.9Net Efficiency2.1

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.5

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

70.7Tempo67.9

60.7%Effective FG%51.8%

17.8%Turnover Rate16.4%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

32.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

10.5Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–51.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–108.4), net efficiency (14.9–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-0.2), ball security (16.4–17.8), offensive rebounding (33.0–28.8).

Final

Belmont

74—65

Missouri State

Belmont by 9 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATMissouri State

27-57FG22-50

47.0%FG%44.0%

12-293PT8-22

41.0%3PT%36.0%

8-10FT13-19

80.0%FT%68.0%

29Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists11

12Turnovers17

9Steals10

2Blocks4

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Lundblade	G	33	8-12	6-9	0-0	2	0	0	0	22
Sam Orme	F	14	5-7	1-2	4-5	4	1	1	0	15
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	32	5-12	3-9	0-0	7	6	1	0	13
Carter Whitt	Guard	31	4-11	0-1	2-2	3	3	1	0	10
Isaiah Walker	G	29	2-7	1-3	1-1	4	1	1	0	6
Aidan Noyes	F	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	2	1	3
Drew Scharnowski	F	9	1-2	0-1	1-2	2	2	1	0	3
Brigham Rogers	F	24	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	1	2
Brody Peebles	Guard	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dez White	G	34	7-14	4-7	2-3	2	1	1	0	20
Vincent Brady II	G	36	4-9	3-6	7-8	6	4	3	0	18
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	34	4-5	0-0	3-5	10	3	1	1	11
Wesley Oba	Forward	33	4-7	0-1	0-1	4	0	1	2	8
Zaxton King	G	29	2-12	1-7	1-2	5	1	3	0	6
Chase Martin	Guard	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Jalen Hampton	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Makhai Valentine	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency97.2

97.2Defensive Efficiency110.6

13.5Net Efficiency-13.5

57.9%Effective FG%52.0%

59.9%True Shooting %55.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate25.7%

17.5%Free Throw Rate38.0%

50.9%3-Point Rate44.0%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Belmont won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.